Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 165 lb |
| Debut | 2026-03-31 |
Player profile / Reno Aces
Jose Fernandez
DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 165 lb · Age 22
Club Reno Aces
Position DH
Roster Reassigned to Minors
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 177 | 23 | 42 | 3 | 7 | .255 | .289 | .352 | .641 |
| 1 Seasons | 177 | 23 | 42 | 3 | 7 | .255 | .289 | .352 | .641 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.280 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.276 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
xwOBA
0.216
0.246
0.278
0.311
0.340
wOBA
0.265
0.286
0.310
0.333
0.354
ISO
0.069
0.090
0.114
0.137
0.158
K%
15.7%
19.3%
23.3%
27.4%
31.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
21
-27 vs proj
Exit velocity84.7
14
Hard-hit%38.8%
46
xBA0.321
48
xSLG0.459
31
xwOBA0.276
20
-19 vs proj
BB%3.9%
8
-18 vs proj
Bat speed71.1
72
K%22.5%
48
+16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
79
Range Runs0.2 · 1B
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · 1B
63
Bolts9.0 · 1B
72
SB Success Rate75.0% · 1B
32
Sprint Speed29.5 · 1B
96
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.1% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.4% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions61.4% · rebadged research
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
50
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.291 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
76
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
118 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.011 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fernandez’s wOBA sits at 0.310, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.276 — a gap of 0.033, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 178 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.298 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 K, CS |
| 2026-04-17 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-13 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K, R |