Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2026-03-31 |
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks
Jose Fernandez
DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 215 lb · Age 23
Club Arizona Diamondbacks
Position DH
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 221 | 26 | 52 | 3 | 9 | .256 | .301 | .345 | .646 |
| 1 Seasons | 221 | 26 | 52 | 3 | 9 | .256 | .301 | .345 | .646 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.281 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.282 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.225
0.252
0.281
0.311
0.338
wOBA
0.274
0.293
0.314
0.335
0.354
ISO
0.068
0.087
0.108
0.129
0.148
K%
16.0%
19.3%
23.0%
26.6%
29.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
20
-33 vs proj
Exit velocity84.4
14
Hard-hit%38.6%
52
-16 vs proj
xBA0.326
60
xSLG0.457
35
xwOBA0.282
27
-19 vs proj
BB%5.0%
14
-16 vs proj
Bat speed70.4
62
K%22.5%
52
+16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
80
Range Runs1.8 · 1B
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts9.0 · 1B
60
SB Success Rate80.0% · 1B
48
Sprint Speed29.5 · 1B
95
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.6% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions61.6% · rebadged research
14
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
73
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
66
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
20
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
140 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.016 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fernandez’s wOBA sits at 0.314, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.282 — a gap of 0.032, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 222 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-09-24 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.243 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.298 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 K, CS |
| 2026-04-17 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-13 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K, R |