Mithrandir Metrics
Player FCL Pirates Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / FCL Pirates

Wilber Dotel

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 245 lb · Age 24

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club FCL Pirates Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026154.46222042.1411.37
1 Seasons154.46222042.1411.37
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
48
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
53
Arsenal6 metrics
58
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.38
42
ERA4.82
30
BB%8.8%
51
K%22.5%
53
xwOBA allowed0.301
66
Barrel allowed4.0%
94
Fastball velo98.3
96
Hard-hit allowed44.8%
10
Whiff%21.0%
36
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Fastball Stuff+110
95
Changeup Stuff+95
14
Cutter Stuff+104
79
Mithrandir Stuff+107
92
Sinker Stuff+93
9
Slider Stuff+103
61
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Dotel, Wilber · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.301 2026-09-12: 0.3002026-09-13: 0.3002026-09-14: 0.3002026-09-18: 0.2962026-09-19: 0.2962026-09-20: 0.2962026-09-21: 0.2962026-09-22: 0.2962026-09-23: 0.2962026-09-24: 0.2962026-09-25: 0.2962026-09-26: 0.301 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Dotel, Wilber · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Dotel, Wilber · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 45.3%Cutter: 24.6%Slider: 21.2%Split-Finger: 5.4%Sinker: 1.8%Changeup: 1.6% FF45% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 45%FC 25%SL 21%FS 5%SI 2%CH 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Dotel, Wilber · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 98.3 mphFF98 mphCutter: 25% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 92.4 mphFC92 mphSlider: 21% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 88.0 mphSL88 mphSplit-Finger: 5% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 87.4 mphFS87 mphSinker: 2% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 97.1 mphSI97 mphChangeup: 2% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 92.3 mphCH92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 47.0% 213 110 qualified
FC 24.1% 109 104 limited sample
SL 19.0% 86 103 limited sample
CH 7.3% 33 95 limited sample
SI 2.6% 12 93 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 3"
Weight245 lb
Debut2026-04-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.309
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.301

Dotel’s wOBA-against sits at 0.309, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.301 — a gap of 0.007, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 42 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-09-11Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-08-15 vs BOS0 ER / 2 K2.0 IP