Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Chase Burns

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
16
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.18
ERA current pace1.96
ERA rolling p502.99
Observed weight54%
ERA
1.65 2.28 2.99 3.69 4.33
FIP
2.53 2.92 3.36 3.79 4.18
K%
26.9% 28.7% 30.7% 32.6% 34.4%
BB%
6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%7.6%
67 +25 vs proj
Barrel allowed10.1%
24 -27 vs proj
Fastball velo98.1
94
Hard-hit allowed39.9%
47
K%29.1%
88
Whiff%30.5%
90
xwOBA allowed0.271
84 +15 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+109
95
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Burns, Chase · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2752026-05-19: 0.2752026-05-21: 0.2712026-05-23: 0.2712026-05-24: 0.2712026-05-25: 0.2712026-05-26: 0.2712026-05-28: 0.2712026-05-29: 0.2712026-05-30: 0.2712026-05-31: 0.2712026-06-01: 0.271 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 57%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Burns, Chase · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 31%31%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Burns, Chase · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 57.3%Slider: 36.0%Changeup: 6.2%Curveball: 0.5% MIX FF 57%SL 36%CH 6%CU 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Burns, Chase · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.1, IVB 0.8FFSL: HB -0.0, IVB 2.7SLCH: HB -1.2, IVB 2.0CHCU: HB -0.0, IVB 3.5CU horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 57.1% 565 111 qualified
SL 36.5% 361 104 qualified
CH 6.4% 63 100 limited sample
CB 0.1% 1 96 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lb
Debut2025-06-24
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.90
K% Δ-0.012

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching162026-05-26Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202630.3% K | 3.86 ERAProjection
2026-04-05 @ TEX1 ER / 9 K6.0 IP
2026-03-30 vs PIT0 ER / 7 K5.0 IP