Mithrandir Metrics
Player Rochester Red Wings Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Rochester Red Wings

Kyle Nicolas

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 216 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
--
Club Rochester Red Wings Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024223.95510054.2551.50
2025124.74310038.0341.37
2026108.597007.172.86
4 Seasons444.969300105.11031.58
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
26
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal4 metrics
26
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.89
ERA current pace8.59
ERA rolling p504.67
Observed weight17%
ERA
2.46 3.51 4.67 5.83 6.88
FIP
3.42 4.07 4.79 5.52 6.17
K%
16.2% 18.9% 21.9% 24.9% 27.6%
BB%
10.3% 12.4% 14.7% 17.1% 19.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Curveball Stuff+103
71
Fastball Stuff+87
2
Mithrandir Stuff+91
8
Slider Stuff+98
24
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Nicolas, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 38%38%Whiff: 14%14%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 44%44%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Nicolas, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 49.8%Slider: 33.2%Curveball: 15.3%Sinker: 1.7% FF50% · 97 mphprimary pitch FF 50%SL 33%CU 15%SI 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Nicolas, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 50% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 96.8 mphFF97 mphSlider: 33% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 90.0 mphSL90 mphCurveball: 15% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 49″ drop, 83.8 mphCU84 mphSinker: 2% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.5 mphSI96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 48.5% 96 87 limited sample
SL 33.3% 66 98 limited sample
CB 16.2% 32 103 limited sample
SI 2.0% 4 67 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 3"
Weight216 lb
Debut2023-09-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.7% K | 4.09 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K2.0 IP