Mithrandir Metrics
Player Memphis Redbirds Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Memphis Redbirds

Hunter Dobbins

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 185 lb · Age 26

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Memphis Redbirds Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025414.131311061.0451.28
2026114.0353122.1231.39
2 Seasons524.101814183.1681.31
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
40
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
34
Arsenal5 metrics
70
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason4.38
ERA current pace4.03
ERA rolling p504.28
Observed weight28%
ERA
3.11 3.67 4.28 4.90 5.45
FIP
3.04 3.53 4.07 4.61 5.09
K%
16.5% 18.4% 20.5% 22.7% 24.6%
BB%
5.9% 7.0% 8.1% 9.3% 10.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.39
38
ERA4.03
50
BB%10.5%
29 -43 vs proj
K%24.2%
62 +38 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.346
19 -27 vs proj
Barrel allowed11.3%
9 -44 vs proj
Fastball velo95.5
67
Hard-hit allowed48.4%
4
Whiff%20.5%
29
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Curveball Stuff+103
71
Fastball Stuff+103
53
Mithrandir Stuff+104
71
Sinker Stuff+105
78
Slider Stuff+105
74
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

8 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Dobbins, Hunter · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.346 2026-07-09: 0.3462026-07-10: 0.3462026-07-11: 0.3462026-07-12: 0.3462026-07-13: 0.3462026-07-14: 0.3462026-07-15: 0.3462026-07-16: 0.346 2026-07-09 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 35%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Dobbins, Hunter · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Dobbins, Hunter · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 34.9%Slider: 19.6%Sinker: 13.1%Sweeper: 12.6%Split-Finger: 11.3%Curveball: 8.5% FF35% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 35%SL 20%SI 13%ST 13%FS 11%CU 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Dobbins, Hunter · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 35% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 95.5 mphFF95 mphSlider: 20% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 88.6 mphSL89 mphSinker: 13% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 95.4 mphSI95 mphSweeper: 13% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 82.5 mphST83 mphSplit-Finger: 11% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 89.2 mphFS89 mphCurveball: 9% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 80.0 mphCU80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 37.1% 72 103 limited sample
SL 35.6% 69 105 limited sample
SI 15.5% 30 105 limited sample
CB 11.9% 23 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 2"
Weight185 lb
Debut2025-04-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.54
K% Δ+0.055
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-07-07Run prevention outpaced the underlying contact signals
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.7% K | 4.57 ERAProjection