Mithrandir Metrics
Player Rochester Red Wings Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Rochester Red Wings

Clayton Beeter

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 220 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Rochester Red Wings Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024004.913003.251.36
2025034.26260125.1331.22
2026654.505001248.0471.40
3 Seasons684.447901377.0851.34
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
36
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
48
Arsenal3 metrics
28
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.77
ERA current pace4.50
ERA rolling p504.12
Observed weight48%
ERA
2.55 3.30 4.12 4.95 5.69
FIP
3.64 4.02 4.44 4.86 5.24
K%
21.0% 22.9% 25.0% 27.1% 29.0%
BB%
10.0% 11.4% 13.1% 14.7% 16.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.37
43
ERA4.50
38
BB%14.2%
6
K%23.9%
65 -16 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.334
28 -26 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.0%
74 +39 vs proj
Fastball velo95.7
71
Hard-hit allowed43.3%
17
Whiff%27.7%
85
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Fastball Stuff+100
33
Mithrandir Stuff+99
26
Slider Stuff+98
23
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Beeter, Clayton · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.334 2026-09-12: 0.3342026-09-13: 0.3342026-09-14: 0.3342026-09-18: 0.3342026-09-19: 0.3342026-09-20: 0.3342026-09-21: 0.3342026-09-22: 0.3342026-09-23: 0.3342026-09-24: 0.3342026-09-25: 0.3342026-09-26: 0.334 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Beeter, Clayton · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Beeter, Clayton · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 50.9%4-Seam Fastball: 49.1% SL51% · 86 mphprimary pitch SL 51%FF 49% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Beeter, Clayton · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Slider: 51% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 86.2 mphSL86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 49% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 95.7 mphFF96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 50.6% 266 100 qualified
SL 49.4% 260 98 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight220 lb
Debut2024-03-29
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.59
K% Δ-0.030

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.349
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.334

Beeter’s wOBA-against sits at 0.349, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.334 — a gap of 0.015, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 51 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.9% K | 3.91 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 @ NYM0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 @ PIT0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-11 @ MIL1 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 vs STL0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 vs LAD1 ER / 2 K1.2 IP