Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Nick Sogard

2B · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 1", 189 lb · Age 29

Cards
29
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202486132103.273.326.325.651
2025104132502.260.317.344.661
2026277296151.255.342.385.727
3 Seasons4675510756.260.333.364.697
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
33
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
40
Defense3 metrics
61
Speed1 metrics
53
Plate skills10 metrics
52
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.293
xwOBA current pace0.308
xwOBA rolling p500.301
Observed weight56%
xwOBA
0.269 0.284 0.301 0.318 0.334
wOBA
0.304 0.321 0.340 0.359 0.377
ISO
0.090 0.105 0.122 0.139 0.154
K%
17.9% 19.4% 21.0% 22.6% 24.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.2%
27
Exit velocity83.5
9
Hard-hit%27.5%
11 -16 vs proj
xBA0.325
58
xSLG0.461
37
xwOBA0.308
55
BB%11.1%
81 +56 vs proj
Bat speed66.3
14
K%20.0%
68 +24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.9 · 2B
23
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
85
Range Runs2.0 · 2B
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · 2B
53
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.8% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.1% · rebadged research
17
Correct Decisions65.5% · rebadged research
43
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.410 · validated
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
76
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Sogard, Nick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.308 2026-09-13: 0.3172026-09-14: 0.3162026-09-18: 0.3172026-09-19: 0.3112026-09-20: 0.3112026-09-21: 0.3102026-09-22: 0.3102026-09-23: 0.3092026-09-24: 0.3102026-09-25: 0.3102026-09-26: 0.3082026-09-27: 0.308 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

141 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Sogard, Nick · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsOppo 18% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -14.02026-03-15 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 32.02026-03-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 59.6 / LA -53.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 9.02026-05-17 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.6 / LA -32.02026-05-17 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 22.02026-05-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 1.02026-05-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 22.4 / LA -10.02026-05-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 62.8 / LA -3.02026-05-19 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 1.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.5 / LA -24.02026-05-19 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 13.02026-05-20 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 16.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -13.02026-05-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.2 / LA 18.02026-05-22 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 68.0 / LA 36.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 75.1 / LA 43.02026-05-23 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -3.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 85.7 / LA 22.02026-05-24 · field out · ST · popup · EV 78.1 / LA 77.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 45.02026-05-24 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 17.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 26.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA -14.02026-05-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 6.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.7 / LA -35.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -15.02026-05-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 40.9 / LA -37.02026-05-27 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 24.1 / LA 21.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 58.02026-07-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 2.02026-07-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 81.2 / LA 24.02026-08-02 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 0.02026-08-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 41.02026-08-04 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 24.02026-08-04 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 65.6 / LA 33.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 59.8 / LA 56.02026-08-04 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA -26.02026-08-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.0 / LA 59.02026-08-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA -48.02026-08-07 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 66.5 / LA 20.02026-08-08 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 21.02026-08-08 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 30.5 / LA 26.02026-08-08 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 20.02026-08-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -24.02026-08-11 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 12.02026-08-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -21.02026-08-13 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 85.9 / LA 26.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 40.02026-08-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 82.8 / LA 23.02026-08-14 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 39.02026-08-14 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 49.02026-08-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -26.02026-08-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -4.02026-08-14 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 20.02026-08-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.4 / LA 83.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 41.6 / LA -56.02026-08-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 91.8 / LA 73.02026-08-17 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 42.02026-08-17 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 26.02026-08-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 12.02026-08-17 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 25.02026-08-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -7.02026-08-19 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 9.02026-08-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 37.02026-08-21 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 4.02026-08-21 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 3.02026-08-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -21.02026-08-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -13.02026-08-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.9 / LA 18.02026-08-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 30.02026-08-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 65.5 / LA 3.02026-08-23 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 18.02026-08-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -8.02026-08-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 83.3 / LA 27.02026-08-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 71.1 / LA 82.02026-08-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -18.02026-08-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 57.5 / LA -53.02026-08-26 · field out · FC · popup · EV 70.2 / LA 43.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · popup · EV 26.2 / LA 59.02026-08-29 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 13.02026-08-29 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -1.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 42.02026-08-29 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 18.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.3 / LA 42.02026-08-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 27.02026-08-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 82.4 / LA 15.02026-08-31 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 13.02026-08-31 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 12.02026-08-31 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 94.7 / LA 19.02026-08-31 · sac bunt · CH · ground_ball · EV 46.0 / LA -77.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 40.02026-09-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 66.9 / LA 16.02026-09-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 7.02026-09-02 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 16.02026-09-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -10.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.3 / LA 74.02026-09-03 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 31.02026-09-03 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 20.02026-09-03 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 87.9 / LA 26.02026-09-04 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 34.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.1 / LA 38.02026-09-04 · field out · KC · popup · EV 56.5 / LA 50.02026-09-05 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 16.02026-09-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 15.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.4 / LA 86.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 29.02026-09-06 · field out · SI · popup · EV 80.9 / LA 61.02026-09-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 8.02026-09-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 15.02026-09-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.7 / LA -12.02026-09-09 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 80.9 / LA 23.02026-09-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 24.02026-09-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 5.02026-09-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 0.02026-09-12 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 20.02026-09-12 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 34.02026-09-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 27.02026-09-13 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA -14.02026-09-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA -8.02026-09-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 46.02026-09-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -9.02026-09-17 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 26.02026-09-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 39.02026-09-18 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -29.02026-09-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.3 / LA 39.02026-09-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 44.02026-09-20 · field out · SL · popup · EV 72.4 / LA 45.02026-09-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 6.02026-09-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA -38.02026-09-22 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 5.02026-09-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 93.2 / LA 14.02026-09-23 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 2.02026-09-23 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 14.02026-09-23 · field out · ST · popup · EV 73.4 / LA 57.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.6 / LA 46.02026-09-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -1.02026-09-25 · field out · CU · popup · EV 70.9 / LA 62.02026-09-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 5.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.3 / LA 37.02026-09-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -2.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Sogard, Nick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 19%19%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 81%81%Hard hit: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 1"
Weight189 lb
Debut2024-08-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.012
wOBA Δ+0.044

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.340
xwOBA (deserved)0.308

Sogard’s wOBA sits at 0.340, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.308 — a gap of 0.032, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 280 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-09-03Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding262026-09-254 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.197
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.296 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, 2 K
2026-05-20 @ KC0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, K, RBI