Mithrandir Metrics
Player CHC Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / CHC

Justin Dean

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 185 lb · Age 29

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club CHC Position -- Roster profile Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202520001.000.000.000.000
2026103301.375.500.6251.125
2 Seasons123302.300.417.500.917
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
75
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
70
Plate skills5 metrics
76
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.244
xwOBA current pace0.346
xwOBA rolling p500.248
Observed weight4%
xwOBA
0.125 0.183 0.248 0.313 0.371
wOBA
0.278 0.373 0.480 0.587 0.682
ISO
0.000 0.034 0.082 0.131 0.174
K%
12.2% 18.2% 24.9% 31.6% 37.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
70 Regression applied
Range Runs0.8 · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 0.0% · rebadged research
100
Correct Decisions71.4% · rebadged research
92
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
31
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline126
100
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

2 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Dean, Justin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 50% of plotted batted ballsPull 50%Center field third: 50% of plotted batted ballsCenter 50%Right field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsOppo 0% LF 355 CF 400 RF 353 2026-06-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 15.02025-08-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -39.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Dean, Justin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 43%43%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 33%33%Zone contact: 69%69%Contact: 67%67%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding22026-07-301 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.246 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection