Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Gus Varland

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.07
ERA current pace3.80
ERA rolling p503.98
Observed weight32%
ERA
2.02 2.95 3.98 5.01 5.94
FIP
2.53 2.97 3.46 3.94 4.38
K%
18.3% 20.6% 23.2% 25.7% 28.0%
BB%
5.6% 7.0% 8.5% 10.0% 11.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.8%
48
Barrel allowed10.4%
22 -25 vs proj
Fastball velo95.2
65
Hard-hit allowed49.4%
4
K%22.1%
49
Whiff%21.9%
42 -17 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.346
22 -38 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+106
80
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Varland, Gus · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3342026-05-19: 0.3342026-05-21: 0.3372026-05-23: 0.3352026-05-24: 0.3352026-05-25: 0.3372026-05-26: 0.3372026-05-28: 0.3402026-05-29: 0.3402026-05-30: 0.3402026-05-31: 0.3402026-06-01: 0.346 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 55%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Varland, Gus · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Varland, Gus · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 55.5%Slider: 41.3%Changeup: 3.2% MIX FF 55%SL 41%CH 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Varland, Gus · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.1, IVB 1.0FFSL: HB -0.1, IVB 2.8SLCH: HB -1.0, IVB 2.5CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 53.7% 173 106 limited sample
SL 44.4% 143 104 limited sample
CH 1.9% 6 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 1"
Weight225 lb
Debut2023-03-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.51
K% Δ-0.025
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.6% K | 4.31 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ PIT0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 @ MIL0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 vs STL2 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs LAD1 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-03 vs LAD0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP