Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

Everson Pereira

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 203 lb · Age 25

Cards
10
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position RF Roster Current MLB team Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202310361404.151.233.194.427
2025737922.138.219.246.465
2026111102351.235.309.439.748
3 Seasons287234677.180.259.301.560
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
67
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
57
Defense4 metrics
58
Speed1 metrics
53
Plate skills10 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.257
xwOBA current pace0.299
xwOBA rolling p500.272
Observed weight36%
xwOBA
0.217 0.243 0.272 0.302 0.328
wOBA
0.329 0.355 0.385 0.414 0.440
ISO
0.118 0.138 0.159 0.181 0.200
K%
25.9% 29.3% 33.1% 36.9% 40.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.9%
87 +27 vs proj
Exit velocity88.1
52
Hard-hit%41.1%
63
xBA0.330
65
xSLG0.642
88
xwOBA0.299
46 +21 vs proj
BB%6.3%
26 -26 vs proj
Bat speed71.8
78
K%31.7%
10
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
42
Arm Strength93.5 · RF
51
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs1.2 · RF
60
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · RF
53
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.1% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.5% · rebadged research
90
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.352 · borderline
0
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
59
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
95
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Pereira, Everson · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.299 2026-09-13: 0.2992026-09-14: 0.2992026-09-18: 0.2992026-09-19: 0.2992026-09-20: 0.2992026-09-21: 0.2992026-09-22: 0.2992026-09-23: 0.2992026-09-24: 0.2992026-09-25: 0.2992026-09-26: 0.2992026-09-27: 0.299 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

68 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Pereira, Everson · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 330 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA -46.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.1 / LA -8.02026-03-19 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 17.02026-03-19 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 38.02026-03-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 71.5 / LA 21.02026-03-21 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 107.4 / LA 18.02026-03-21 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 28.02026-03-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA -20.02026-03-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 67.7 / LA -14.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 35.02026-03-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 58.4 / LA 11.02026-03-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 24.02026-03-29 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 11.02026-03-29 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 31.02026-03-29 · field out · ST · popup · EV 89.0 / LA 66.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 34.02026-03-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 89.2 / LA 14.02026-03-30 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -15.02026-03-30 · double · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -9.02026-04-14 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 27.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 18.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA 6.02026-04-16 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 16.02026-04-16 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 26.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA -5.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -8.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -42.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 21.02026-04-18 · double · SI · popup · EV 60.1 / LA 31.02026-04-18 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -30.02026-04-18 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 37.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 18.02026-04-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 7.02026-04-19 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 45.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -17.02026-04-21 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 34.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 28.02026-04-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA -7.02026-04-22 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 19.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 51.5 / LA 25.02026-04-22 · field out · ST · popup · EV 92.1 / LA 75.02026-04-23 · double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 13.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 74.3 / LA 31.02026-04-23 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -29.02026-04-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 6.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · popup · EV 70.3 / LA 65.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA -17.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA -18.02026-04-26 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.8 / LA -25.02026-04-26 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 82.6 / LA 24.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -3.02026-04-27 · field out · KC · popup · EV 85.5 / LA 67.02026-04-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 53.1 / LA -82.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 39.02026-08-02 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 32.02026-08-02 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 107.1 / LA 22.02026-08-02 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 7.02026-08-08 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 87.9 / LA 22.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 37.02026-08-11 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 24.02026-08-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 9.02026-08-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -24.02026-08-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -11.02026-08-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -36.02026-08-17 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA 6.02026-08-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 17.02026-08-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -17.02026-08-21 · sac bunt · ST · ground_ball · EV 41.1 / LA -46.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Pereira, Everson · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 36%36%Whiff: 33%33%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 67%67%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height5' 11"
Weight203 lb
Debut2023-08-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.020
wOBA Δ+0.106

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.385
xwOBA (deserved)0.299

Pereira’s wOBA sits at 0.385, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.086, -2.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 126 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-04-16Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding72026-08-201 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.341
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-08-15 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HBP, 2 K
2026-04-17 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-5 | K
2026-04-14 vs TB1 HR | 3 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | HR, 2 K, 3 RBI
2026-04-01 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2 | 2 K
2026-03-30 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, 2 R