Mithrandir Metrics
Player HOU Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / HOU

Jake Meyers

Player · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 0", 200 lb · Age 30

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club HOU Position -- Roster profile Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024513511011311.219.286.360.646
202538153100316.292.354.373.727
2026153153031.213.268.326.594
6 Seasons17111963733638.241.303.367.670
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
20
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
24
Defense4 metrics
58
Speed1 metrics
61
Plate skills11 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.309
xwOBA current pace0.256
xwOBA rolling p500.286
Observed weight43%
xwOBA
0.261 0.273 0.286 0.300 0.312
wOBA
0.256 0.278 0.302 0.326 0.348
ISO
0.092 0.109 0.127 0.146 0.163
K%
18.4% 19.9% 21.5% 23.1% 24.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
52 +19 vs proj
Exit velocity85.0
19
Hard-hit%28.8%
14 -22 vs proj
xBA0.263
9
xSLG0.404
14
xwOBA0.256
12 -35 vs proj
BB%6.1%
25
Bat speed64.7
6
K%20.2%
66
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · CF
68
Arm Strength88.1 · CF
10
Outs Above Avg2.0 · CF
88
Range Runs1.6 · CF
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · CF
61
SB Success Rate33.3% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions69.3% · rebadged research
81
Mithrandir Stuff+70
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
91
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
30
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
49
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Meyers, Jake · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.256 2026-09-12: 0.2562026-09-13: 0.2562026-09-14: 0.2562026-09-18: 0.2562026-09-19: 0.2562026-09-20: 0.2562026-09-21: 0.2562026-09-22: 0.2562026-09-23: 0.2562026-09-24: 0.2562026-09-25: 0.2562026-09-26: 0.256 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

1Pitches 2026Season 100%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Meyers, Jake · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 33%33%Whiff: 19%19%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 81%81%Hard hit: 29%29% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Meyers, Jake · 2026 arsenal snapshot Eephus: 100.0% EP100% · 50 mphprimary pitch EP 100% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Meyers, Jake · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Eephus: 100% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 50.5 mphEP50 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 100.0% 9 71 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.043
wOBA Δ+0.003

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.302
xwOBA (deserved)0.256

Meyers’s wOBA sits at 0.302, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.256 — a gap of 0.046, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 163 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-04-05Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.299 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection