Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cleveland Guardians Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians

Joey Cantillo

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 4", 225 lb · Age 26

Cards
19
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cleveland Guardians Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024244.8998038.2441.29
2025533.213413195.11081.26
2026843.5620200101.01051.40
3 Seasons15113.6463411235.02571.32
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
50
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
53
Arsenal6 metrics
29
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.38
38
ERA3.56
61
BB%11.0%
25
K%25.0%
68
xwOBA allowed0.306
58
Barrel allowed7.6%
52
Fastball velo92.0
16
Hard-hit allowed36.5%
66
Whiff%29.4%
90
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Changeup Stuff+100
32
Curveball Stuff+102
50
Fastball Stuff+98
20
Mithrandir Stuff+98
19
Cutter Stuff+97
11
Slider Stuff+100
39
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cantillo, Joey · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.306 2026-07-06: 0.3182026-07-07: 0.3182026-07-08: 0.3182026-07-09: 0.3132026-07-10: 0.3132026-07-11: 0.3132026-07-12: 0.3132026-07-13: 0.3132026-07-14: 0.3072026-07-15: 0.3072026-07-16: 0.3062026-07-17: 0.306 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 36%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cantillo, Joey · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 29%29%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cantillo, Joey · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 35.9%Changeup: 27.4%Curveball: 25.5%Slider: 6.4%Cutter: 4.8% FF36% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 36%CH 27%CU 26%SL 6%FC 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cantillo, Joey · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 36% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 92.0 mphFF92 mphChangeup: 27% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 80.7 mphCH81 mphCurveball: 26% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 61″ drop, 79.9 mphCU80 mphSlider: 6% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 46″ drop, 82.8 mphSL83 mphCutter: 5% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 87.2 mphFC87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 37.8% 524 98 qualified
CH 27.1% 375 100 qualified
CB 23.5% 326 102 qualified
SL 7.8% 108 100 limited sample
FC 3.8% 52 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lb
Debut2024-07-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.334
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.306

Cantillo’s wOBA-against sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.028, 1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 103 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching192026-07-12Changeup played up through CU/FF tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.5% K | 3.93 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ STL2 ER / 4 K6.0 IP
2026-04-08 vs KC1 ER / 9 K5.2 IP
2026-04-03 vs CHC1 ER / 6 K5.1 IP