Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 217 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-20 |
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 217 lb · Age 26
Club Cleveland Guardians
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 161 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 5 | .222 | .255 | .353 | .608 |
| 2025 | 471 | 44 | 95 | 11 | 8 | .220 | .274 | .363 | .637 |
| 2026 | 97 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 3 | .239 | .278 | .424 | .702 |
| 5 Seasons | 1131 | 114 | 226 | 30 | 20 | .218 | .275 | .362 | .637 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
79
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
50
Exit velocity92.4
94
Hard-hit%50.0%
91
xBA0.427
99
xSLG0.766
97
xwOBA0.302
44
BB%6.8%
28
Bat speed72.7
86
K%37.3%
1
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength89.9 · 3B
76
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 3B
68
Range Runs2.4 · 3B
76
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · 3B
29
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.4% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.4% · rebadged research
21
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
64
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
38
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
38 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Arias’s wOBA sits at 0.397, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.302 — a gap of 0.096, -2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 118 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-07-02 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-04-06 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-05 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-05 vs CHC0 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-03 vs CHC1 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, BB, K |
| 2026-04-01 @ LAD1 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, 2 K, RBI |