Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

Denzel Clarke

CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 26

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position CF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025159183436.230.274.372.646
20268561104.149.232.162.394
2 Seasons2442445310.203.259.302.561
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
18
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
27
Defense4 metrics
60
Speed2 metrics
61
Plate skills10 metrics
73
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.260
xwOBA current pace0.206
xwOBA rolling p500.243
Observed weight31%
xwOBA
0.189 0.214 0.243 0.272 0.298
wOBA
0.174 0.199 0.227 0.255 0.281
ISO
0.050 0.074 0.102 0.129 0.153
K%
24.4% 27.1% 30.2% 33.3% 36.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
23 -28 vs proj
Exit velocity85.1
21
Hard-hit%39.0%
53
xBA0.262
8
xSLG0.301
1
xwOBA0.206
2 -26 vs proj
BB%8.9%
56 +40 vs proj
Bat speed70.9
70
K%31.7%
10
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · CF
42
Arm Strength91.4 · CF
30
Outs Above Avg3.0 · CF
92
Range Runs2.7 · CF
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts4.0 · CF
39
Sprint Speed28.7 · CF
84
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.0% · rebadged research
79
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
80
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
83
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
39
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.325 · validated
96
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
74
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Clarke, Denzel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.206 2026-09-13: 0.2012026-09-14: 0.2012026-09-18: 0.2122026-09-19: 0.2122026-09-20: 0.2122026-09-21: 0.2142026-09-22: 0.2142026-09-23: 0.2102026-09-24: 0.2082026-09-25: 0.2082026-09-26: 0.2062026-09-27: 0.206 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

60 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Clarke, Denzel · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 5% of plotted batted ballsPull 5%Center field third: 83% of plotted batted ballsCenter 83%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 325 CF 403 RF 325 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA -24.02026-03-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -11.02026-03-17 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 8.02026-03-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 66.8 / LA 62.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 31.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -37.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 1.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 31.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -35.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA -12.02026-03-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 108.5 / LA 6.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 1.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 55.02026-03-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA -60.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 111.8 / LA -4.02026-03-31 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 7.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 108.7 / LA 2.02026-04-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 5.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · popup · EV 69.4 / LA 88.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -13.02026-04-05 · single · FF · ground_ball2026-04-07 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 25.8 / LA -27.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 20.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 89.2 / LA 26.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA -24.02026-04-09 · field out · ST · popup · EV 72.5 / LA 79.02026-04-10 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -14.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.3 / LA -6.02026-04-10 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -3.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA -35.02026-04-11 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 110.7 / LA 15.02026-04-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -1.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 27.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA -24.02026-04-14 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 5.02026-04-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -2.02026-04-15 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 33.1 / LA -7.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -16.02026-04-16 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.1 / LA -26.02026-04-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.7 / LA 0.02026-04-18 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA -12.02026-04-18 · sac bunt · SL · ground_ball · EV 26.1 / LA 25.02026-09-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA -24.02026-09-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.0 / LA -44.02026-09-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.2 / LA -59.02026-09-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.3 / LA -59.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -15.02026-09-02 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 108.6 / LA 4.02026-09-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.8 / LA -18.02026-09-05 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.7 / LA -40.02026-09-05 · field out · SI · popup · EV 62.5 / LA 54.02026-09-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.4 / LA -45.02026-09-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 92.1 / LA 11.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -45.02026-09-22 · field out · SL · popup · EV 86.1 / LA 67.02026-09-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.7 / LA -5.02026-09-23 · fielders choice out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA -14.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -36.02026-09-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA -11.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Clarke, Denzel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 31%31%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 69%69%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lb
Debut2025-05-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.076
wOBA Δ-0.055

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.227
xwOBA (deserved)0.206

Clarke’s wOBA sits at 0.227, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.206 — a gap of 0.021, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 101 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding32026-09-225 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.367
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.282 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-04-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2 K
2026-04-15 vs TEX0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-3 | K, RBI, SB
2026-04-14 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B, 2 K, R
2026-04-13 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-2 | 2 K