Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Adrian Morejon

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 11", 224 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024322.83600263.2711.32
20251362.08750373.2700.90
2026514.00330136.0411.06
8 Seasons28123.5221896248.12551.19
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
78
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
85
Arsenal5 metrics
92
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
ERA preseason3.40
ERA current pace4.19
ERA rolling p503.71
Observed weight39%
ERA
2.08 2.85 3.71 4.56 5.33
FIP
1.70 2.30 2.96 3.62 4.22
K%
21.3% 23.6% 26.1% 28.7% 31.0%
BB%
3.9% 5.1% 6.3% 7.6% 8.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.11
77
ERA4.19
41
BB%5.2%
94 +21 vs proj
K%27.9%
85 +18 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.255
93 +28 vs proj
Barrel allowed2.0%
99 +44 vs proj
Fastball velo99.4
99
Hard-hit allowed33.3%
84
Whiff%32.6%
96 +38 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-14
Sinker Stuff+112
98
Changeup Stuff+106
77
Fastball Stuff+107
84
Mithrandir Stuff+113
100
Slider Stuff+114
100
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Morejon, Adrian · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.255 2026-06-03: 0.2592026-06-04: 0.2592026-06-05: 0.2682026-06-06: 0.2682026-06-07: 0.2682026-06-08: 0.2622026-06-09: 0.2622026-06-10: 0.2562026-06-11: 0.2552026-06-12: 0.2552026-06-13: 0.2552026-06-14: 0.255 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Morejon, Adrian · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 33%33%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 58%58%Hard hit allowed: 33%33% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Morejon, Adrian · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 48.5%Slider: 21.5%Changeup: 17.6%4-Seam Fastball: 12.4% SI48% · 99 mphprimary pitch SI 48%SL 22%CH 18%FF 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Morejon, Adrian · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Sinker: 48% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 99.4 mphSI99 mphSlider: 22% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 89.0 mphSL89 mphChangeup: 18% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 92.0 mphCH92 mph4-Seam Fastball: 12% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 99.1 mphFF99 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 47.9% 234 112 qualified
SL 21.1% 103 114 limited sample
CH 17.8% 87 106 limited sample
FB 13.3% 65 107 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 11"
Weight224 lb
Debut2019-07-21
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.80
K% Δ+0.028

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.306
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.255

Morejon’s wOBA-against sits at 0.306, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.255 — a gap of 0.051, 1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 37 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.1% K | 3.39 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs SEA0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs COL0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ PIT4 ER / 1 K0.1 IP
2026-04-04 @ BOS1 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-01 vs SF1 ER / 1 K1.2 IP