Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cleveland Guardians Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians

Matt Festa

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cleveland Guardians Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.21
ERA current pace4.44
ERA rolling p504.29
Observed weight34%
ERA
2.50 3.35 4.29 5.23 6.08
FIP
3.27 3.71 4.21 4.70 5.15
K%
18.5% 20.6% 23.0% 25.4% 27.5%
BB%
5.0% 6.4% 8.0% 9.5% 10.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%6.5%
81 +31 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.6%
27 -23 vs proj
Fastball velo91.9
17
Hard-hit allowed36.1%
70
K%23.4%
56
Whiff%21.9%
42
xwOBA allowed0.311
52
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+102
55
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Festa, Matt · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2982026-05-19: 0.2982026-05-21: 0.3012026-05-23: 0.3032026-05-24: 0.3022026-05-25: 0.3022026-05-26: 0.3012026-05-28: 0.3012026-05-29: 0.3012026-05-30: 0.3012026-05-31: 0.3012026-06-01: 0.311 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Festa, Matt · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Festa, Matt · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 44.1%4-Seam Fastball: 40.9%Sinker: 7.3%Cutter: 6.4%Slider: 1.1%Unknown: 0.2% MIX ST 44%FF 41%SI 7%FC 6%SL 1%UN 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Festa, Matt · 2026 arsenal snapshot ST: HB -0.2, IVB 3.3STFF: HB -0.0, IVB 1.7FFSI: HB 0.8, IVB 1.8SIFC: HB 0.1, IVB 2.1FCSL: HB 0.0, IVB 3.2SLUN: HB -1.1, IVB 4.7UN horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 45.7% 171 104 limited sample
FB 40.9% 153 103 limited sample
FC 7.5% 28 94 limited sample
SI 5.9% 22 88 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 1"
Weight195 lb
Debut2018-07-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.53
K% Δ+0.008
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.6% K | 3.91 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 vs HOU1 ER / 1 K2.0 IP
2026-04-15 @ STL1 ER / 3 K2.1 IP
2026-04-08 vs KC0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-05 vs CHC2 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-03 vs CHC0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP