Mithrandir Metrics
Player Tampa Bay Rays Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays

Jesse Scholtens

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Tampa Bay Rays Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.09
ERA current pace3.82
ERA rolling p503.98
Observed weight41%
ERA
2.02 2.95 3.98 5.01 5.93
FIP
3.42 3.95 4.53 5.12 5.64
K%
14.7% 17.0% 19.4% 21.9% 24.1%
BB%
4.8% 6.0% 7.3% 8.6% 9.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%6.7%
78
Barrel allowed10.8%
16 -29 vs proj
Fastball velo92.5
23
Hard-hit allowed37.5%
61
K%18.3%
21 -27 vs proj
Whiff%18.0%
13 -36 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.346
22 -42 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+105
72
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Scholtens, Jesse · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3052026-05-19: 0.3052026-05-21: 0.3052026-05-23: 0.3272026-05-24: 0.3272026-05-25: 0.3272026-05-26: 0.3462026-05-28: 0.3462026-05-29: 0.3462026-05-30: 0.3462026-05-31: 0.3462026-06-01: 0.346 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 32%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Scholtens, Jesse · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Scholtens, Jesse · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 32.4%Sinker: 24.5%4-Seam Fastball: 22.0%Split-Finger: 11.0%Sweeper: 10.1% MIX SL 32%SI 24%FF 22%FS 11%ST 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Scholtens, Jesse · 2026 arsenal snapshot SL: HB 0.1, IVB 2.3SLSI: HB 0.8, IVB 1.7SIFF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.2FFFS: HB -0.6, IVB 3.2FSST: HB -1.1, IVB 3.5ST horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 47.9% 256 104 qualified
SI 27.5% 147 101 limited sample
FB 24.7% 132 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 4"
Weight240 lb
Debut2023-04-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.57
K% Δ-0.037

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-05-08Sinker played up through SI/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.0% K | 4.39 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs BAL2 ER / 4 K4.0 IP
2026-04-20 vs CIN5 ER / 6 K5.2 IP
2026-04-15 @ CWS0 ER / 3 K5.0 IP
2026-04-08 vs CHC0 ER / 4 K4.2 IP