Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2017-09-07 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Austin Hays
DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 200 lb · Age 31
Club San Diego Padres
Position DH
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 255 | 26 | 60 | 5 | 2 | .255 | .303 | .396 | .699 |
| 2025 | 416 | 60 | 101 | 15 | 7 | .266 | .315 | .453 | .768 |
| 2026 | 100 | 14 | 26 | 3 | 0 | .271 | .290 | .396 | .686 |
| 9 Seasons | 2720 | 351 | 657 | 86 | 24 | .262 | .312 | .434 | .746 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
57
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.290 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.298 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.276
0.293
0.309
0.324
wOBA
0.324
0.352
0.382
0.413
0.440
ISO
0.100
0.119
0.140
0.161
0.180
K%
21.6%
23.2%
25.0%
26.8%
28.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.6%
19
-32 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
47
Hard-hit%42.2%
69
+20 vs proj
xBA0.391
97
xSLG0.539
62
xwOBA0.298
45
+16 vs proj
BB%2.6%
3
-18 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
61
K%24.3%
42
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
25
Arm Runs-0.9 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.0 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · LF
41
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.8% · rebadged research
87
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
31
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.363 · validated
15
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
69 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.098 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hays’s wOBA sits at 0.382, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.298 — a gap of 0.084, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 115 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 1 | 2026-08-15 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.196 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.284 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-06 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | CS |
| 2026-04-05 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | RBI |
| 2026-04-04 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 K, R |
| 2026-04-03 vs TOR0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, 2 RBI |