Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Samad Taylor

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 160 lb · Age 28

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position LF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202452200.400.400.400.800
202591100.125.125.125.250
20261722647212.315.391.409.800
4 Seasons2554062220.279.352.360.712
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
35
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
36
Defense4 metrics
37
Speed3 metrics
72
Plate skills10 metrics
43
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.311
xwOBA rolling p500.283
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.238 0.260 0.283 0.307 0.328
wOBA
0.323 0.346 0.370 0.395 0.417
ISO
0.052 0.077 0.105 0.133 0.159
K%
18.8% 22.1% 25.8% 29.4% 32.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
15
Exit velocity77.9
1
Hard-hit%24.3%
7
xBA0.364
90
xSLG0.468
38
xwOBA0.311
59 +44 vs proj
BB%10.3%
73 +42 vs proj
Bat speed62.6
2
K%25.3%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · LF
75
Arm Strength92.1 · LF
38
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
13
Range Runs-2.6 · LF
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts5.0 · LF
46
SB Success Rate88.9% · LF
77
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
92
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.3% · rebadged research
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions64.7% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
42
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
52
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Taylor, Samad · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.311 2026-09-12: 0.3032026-09-13: 0.3022026-09-14: 0.3032026-09-18: 0.3062026-09-19: 0.3072026-09-20: 0.3072026-09-21: 0.3202026-09-22: 0.3202026-09-23: 0.3182026-09-24: 0.3152026-09-25: 0.3152026-09-26: 0.311 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

58 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Taylor, Samad · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 72% of plotted batted ballsCenter 72%Right field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsOppo 16% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -3.02026-06-07 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 0.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 32.7 / LA -78.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -2.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 44.4 / LA -73.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 32.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -5.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 64.5 / LA 24.02026-06-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 27.8 / LA -54.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 22.3 / LA -27.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 42.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 15.5 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 61.02026-06-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.3 / LA 22.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 3.02026-07-01 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 26.02026-08-30 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 31.8 / LA -10.02026-08-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 16.5 / LA -17.02026-09-01 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -4.02026-09-01 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 12.02026-09-01 · triple · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 29.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA 12.02026-09-02 · field out · FC · popup · EV 25.3 / LA 65.02026-09-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 47.9 / LA -78.02026-09-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -47.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 32.02026-09-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 38.02026-09-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.6 / LA -70.02026-09-09 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 35.02026-09-09 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 1.02026-09-09 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 34.1 / LA -55.02026-09-11 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 11.02026-09-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.3 / LA 71.02026-09-11 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 20.02026-09-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -22.02026-09-12 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 36.1 / LA -4.02026-09-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 56.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 55.02026-09-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 0.02026-09-13 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.4 / LA 27.02026-09-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 4.02026-09-17 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -5.02026-09-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 29.02026-09-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 18.02026-09-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 47.6 / LA -83.02026-09-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -35.02026-09-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -59.02026-09-20 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA -6.02026-09-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 9.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 48.02026-09-23 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -7.02026-09-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -19.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 20.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.8 / LA 67.02026-09-25 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 4.02026-09-25 · double play · CH · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 9.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Taylor, Samad · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 31%31%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 24%24% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height5' 8"
Weight160 lb
Debut2023-06-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.049
wOBA Δ+0.108

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.370
xwOBA (deserved)0.311

Taylor’s wOBA sits at 0.370, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.059, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 174 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding62026-09-253 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.408
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.262 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection