Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Jake Rogers

C profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.303
xwOBA current pace0.237
xwOBA rolling p500.287
Observed weight24%
xwOBA
0.240 0.262 0.287 0.312 0.334
wOBA
0.175 0.206 0.241 0.275 0.307
ISO
0.096 0.124 0.155 0.186 0.213
K%
23.9% 26.5% 29.4% 32.3% 35.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%10.1%
67 +32 vs proj
Barrel%4.3%
40 -23 vs proj
Bat speed67.4
23
Exit velocity86.0
23
Hard-hit%30.8%
16 -48 vs proj
K%30.4%
12
xBA0.269
10
xSLG0.438
27
xwOBA0.237
5 -49 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.0 · C
47
Catcher Throwing0.6 · C
64
Framing Runs-0.9 · C
36
Pop Time2.0 · C
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.0 · C
20
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.9% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 35.1% · rebadged research
4
Correct Decisions62.1% · rebadged research
15
Mithrandir Stuff+58
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
65
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
68
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
57
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
92
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
15
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Rogers, Jake · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.2362026-05-19: 0.2362026-05-21: 0.2362026-05-23: 0.2472026-05-24: 0.2472026-05-25: 0.2422026-05-26: 0.2422026-05-28: 0.2422026-05-29: 0.2422026-05-30: 0.2462026-05-31: 0.2462026-06-01: 0.237 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2025Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Rogers, Jake · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 51%51%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Jake · 2025 arsenal snapshot Eephus: 49.0%Other: 40.8%Knuckleball: 10.2% MIX EP 49%FA 41%KN 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Jake · 2025 arsenal snapshot EP: HB 0.2, IVB 6.8EPFA: HB -0.2, IVB 2.7FAKN: HB 0.4, IVB 5.6KN horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 100.0% 11 65 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height5' 11"
Weight201 lb
Debut2019-07-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.076
wOBA Δ-0.072
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.313 xwOBA | 11 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-3 | K
2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, RBI, SB
2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K, RBI
2026-04-09 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E0-2 | HBP, K, R
2026-04-06 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K