Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Richard Lovelady

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.92
ERA current pace2.70
ERA rolling p503.53
Observed weight32%
ERA
1.49 2.46 3.53 4.60 5.57
FIP
2.75 3.49 4.31 5.12 5.86
K%
15.6% 18.1% 20.8% 23.5% 25.9%
BB%
7.4% 8.8% 10.3% 11.9% 13.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%14.3%
6 -42 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.6%
76 +34 vs proj
Fastball velo91.4
12
Hard-hit allowed35.2%
75
K%19.6%
29
Whiff%23.4%
54
xwOBA allowed0.344
23 -26 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
64
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

11 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Lovelady, Richard · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-19: 0.3412026-05-21: 0.3342026-05-23: 0.3252026-05-24: 0.3172026-05-25: 0.3202026-05-26: 0.3202026-05-28: 0.3442026-05-29: 0.3442026-05-30: 0.3442026-05-31: 0.3442026-06-01: 0.344 2026-05-19 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Lovelady, Richard · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lovelady, Richard · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 44.6%Sinker: 28.4%4-Seam Fastball: 19.5%Slider: 7.5% MIX ST 45%SI 28%FF 20%SL 7% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lovelady, Richard · 2026 arsenal snapshot ST: HB 0.2, IVB 3.5STSI: HB 0.1, IVB 2.4SIFF: HB -0.3, IVB 1.7FFSL: HB 0.2, IVB 2.7SL horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 52.3% 208 107 qualified
SI 28.4% 113 96 limited sample
FB 19.3% 77 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 0"
Weight185 lb
Debut2019-04-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.26
K% Δ-0.019
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-05-22Contact quality stayed muted throughout the start
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.5% K | 3.96 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 vs SF1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs AZ0 ER / 1 K1.2 IP
2026-04-03 @ SF1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-03-31 @ STL1 ER / 2 K2.0 IP
2026-03-29 vs PIT1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP