Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Chris Paddack

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
11
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.57
ERA current pace6.86
ERA rolling p505.68
Observed weight49%
ERA
4.41 5.02 5.68 6.35 6.95
FIP
3.82 4.21 4.64 5.07 5.46
K%
14.9% 16.3% 17.9% 19.4% 20.8%
BB%
4.8% 5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 7.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%7.5%
69 -15 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.3%
41
Fastball velo92.9
26
Hard-hit allowed41.1%
39
K%16.7%
13
Whiff%20.4%
28
xwOBA allowed0.342
24
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
64
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Paddack, Chris · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3252026-05-19: 0.3252026-05-21: 0.3252026-05-23: 0.3252026-05-24: 0.3282026-05-25: 0.3282026-05-26: 0.3282026-05-28: 0.3282026-05-29: 0.3282026-05-30: 0.3282026-05-31: 0.3422026-06-01: 0.342 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 34%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Paddack, Chris · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Paddack, Chris · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 34.3%Changeup: 26.5%Cutter: 12.2%Curveball: 10.6%Sweeper: 9.3%Sinker: 7.1% MIX FF 34%CH 26%FC 12%CU 11%ST 9%SI 7% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Paddack, Chris · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.1FFCH: HB -0.6, IVB 2.7CHFC: HB -0.0, IVB 2.5FCCU: HB 0.3, IVB 5.2CUST: HB -0.6, IVB 4.0STSI: HB 0.6, IVB 1.4SI horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 34.0% 254 108 qualified
CH 26.5% 198 108 limited sample
FC 11.9% 89 102 limited sample
CB 10.4% 78 95 limited sample
SL 10.0% 75 94 limited sample
SI 7.1% 53 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 5"
Weight217 lb
Debut2019-03-31
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.96
K% Δ-0.015

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching112026-05-234-Seam Fastball played up through CU/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.2% K | 4.90 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 @ ATL2 ER / 4 K4.2 IP
2026-04-05 @ NYY0 ER / 4 K4.2 IP
2026-03-30 vs CWS8 ER / 6 K4.0 IP