Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Kris Bubic

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 29

Cards
12
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024112.67270130.1391.02
2025872.5520200116.11161.18
2026423.83139054.0551.20
7 Seasons23384.11130891525.24991.38
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
51
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
47
Arsenal5 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.46
ERA current pace3.96
ERA rolling p503.71
Observed weight50%
ERA
2.54 3.09 3.71 4.33 4.88
FIP
2.75 3.10 3.49 3.88 4.23
K%
21.5% 22.9% 24.5% 26.0% 27.4%
BB%
8.3% 9.2% 10.1% 11.0% 11.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.21
70
ERA3.96
53
BB%12.1%
18 -49 vs proj
K%24.7%
69
xwOBA allowed0.316
46 -21 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.8%
62 +15 vs proj
Fastball velo91.8
13
Hard-hit allowed40.5%
34
Whiff%23.9%
59
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Fastball Stuff+102
50
Mithrandir Stuff+102
53
Slider Stuff+104
67
Changeup Stuff+101
47
Sinker Stuff+103
55
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bubic, Kris · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.316 2026-09-12: 0.3272026-09-13: 0.3272026-09-14: 0.3272026-09-18: 0.3222026-09-19: 0.3182026-09-20: 0.3182026-09-21: 0.3142026-09-22: 0.3142026-09-23: 0.3142026-09-24: 0.3162026-09-25: 0.3162026-09-26: 0.316 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 41%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bubic, Kris · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bubic, Kris · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 41.3%Changeup: 20.7%Sweeper: 16.8%Sinker: 12.6%Slider: 8.6% FF41% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 41%CH 21%ST 17%SI 13%SL 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bubic, Kris · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 41% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 91.9 mphFF92 mphChangeup: 21% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 85.9 mphCH86 mphSweeper: 17% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 82.5 mphST82 mphSinker: 13% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 91.4 mphSI91 mphSlider: 9% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 85.4 mphSL85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 41.4% 350 102 qualified
SL 25.8% 218 104 qualified
CH 20.5% 173 101 limited sample
SI 12.3% 104 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lb
Debut2020-07-31
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.36
K% Δ-0.001

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.306
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.316

Bubic’s wOBA-against sits at 0.306, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.316 — a gap of 0.010, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 57 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching122026-05-084-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CH tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.8% K | 3.60 ERAProjection
2026-04-05 vs MIL4 ER / 8 K5.0 IP
2026-03-30 vs MIN1 ER / 4 K6.0 IP