Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago White Sox Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago White Sox

Davis Martin

P · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 29

Cards
26
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Chicago White Sox Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024054.321110050.0471.46
20257104.1026250142.21041.29
2026973.8428270145.11211.29
4 Seasons19284.1579710401.13201.31
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
48
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
43
Arsenal7 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.05
ERA current pace3.96
ERA rolling p503.99
Observed weight72%
ERA
2.86 3.40 3.99 4.58 5.11
FIP
3.11 3.49 3.92 4.34 4.72
K%
17.8% 18.7% 19.7% 20.7% 21.7%
BB%
6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 8.3% 8.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.31
55
ERA3.96
53
BB%7.8%
66
K%19.7%
33
xwOBA allowed0.330
31
Barrel allowed6.6%
65 +33 vs proj
Fastball velo93.4
32
Hard-hit allowed44.7%
11
Whiff%21.4%
41
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Changeup Stuff+103
57
Fastball Stuff+101
43
Mithrandir Stuff+103
59
Sinker Stuff+105
72
Curveball Stuff+104
71
Cutter Stuff+106
94
Slider Stuff+99
28
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Martin, Davis · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.330 2026-09-12: 0.3322026-09-13: 0.3322026-09-14: 0.3322026-09-18: 0.3302026-09-19: 0.3302026-09-20: 0.3302026-09-21: 0.3302026-09-22: 0.3302026-09-23: 0.3302026-09-24: 0.3302026-09-25: 0.3302026-09-26: 0.330 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

8Pitches 2026Season 27%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Martin, Davis · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Martin, Davis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 26.6%Sinker: 18.8%Changeup: 14.4%Curveball: 14.1%Slider: 13.0%Cutter: 12.9% FF27% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 27%SI 19%CH 14%CU 14%SL 13%FC 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Martin, Davis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ 4-Seam Fastball: 27% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 1″ drop, 93.9 mphFF94 mphSinker: 19% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 2″ drop, 92.8 mphSI93 mphChangeup: 14% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 3″ drop, 90.1 mphCH90 mphCurveball: 14% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 4″ drop, 81.7 mphCU82 mphSlider: 13% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 3″ drop, 87.1 mphSL87 mphCutter: 13% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 2″ drop, 89.7 mphFC90 mphSweeper: 0% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 3″ drop, 88.2 mphST88 mphUnknown: 0% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 39.3 mphUN39 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 25.9% 321 101 qualified
SI 17.2% 213 105 qualified
CH 16.4% 204 103 qualified
SL 14.3% 177 99 limited sample
CB 13.4% 166 104 limited sample
FC 12.9% 160 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 2"
Weight215 lb
Debut2022-05-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.77
K% Δ+0.018

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.335
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.330

Martin’s wOBA-against sits at 0.335, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.005, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 148 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching262026-09-20Changeup played up through CH/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202617.9% K | 4.73 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ ATH1 ER / 4 K7.0 IP
2026-04-05 vs TOR0 ER / 6 K6.0 IP
2026-03-30 @ MIA3 ER / 6 K5.0 IP