Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Caleb Ferguson

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
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Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.00
ERA current pace0.00
ERA rolling p503.82
Observed weight4%
ERA
1.66 2.69 3.82 4.96 5.99
FIP
2.27 2.83 3.46 4.08 4.65
K%
19.1% 21.7% 24.6% 27.4% 30.0%
BB%
5.0% 6.7% 8.7% 10.6% 12.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+111
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2025Season 32%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Ferguson, Caleb · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 26%26%Zone: 59%59%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 64%64%Hard hit allowed: 17%17% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ferguson, Caleb · 2025 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 31.5%Cutter: 23.6%Sinker: 23.6%Slurve: 21.4% MIX FF 32%FC 24%SI 24%SV 21% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ferguson, Caleb · 2025 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.3FFFC: HB 0.0, IVB 2.5FCSI: HB 0.9, IVB 1.7SISV: HB 0.5, IVB 4.5SV horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 37.5% 6 103 limited sample
SI 25.0% 4 101 limited sample
SL 18.8% 3 118 limited sample
FB 18.8% 3 115 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight225 lb
Debut2018-06-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.8% K | 3.80 ERAProjection