Mithrandir Metrics
Player Tampa Bay Rays Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays

Jake Fraley

RF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Tampa Bay Rays Position RF Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.297
xwOBA current pace0.277
xwOBA rolling p500.290
Observed weight32%
xwOBA
0.260 0.274 0.290 0.306 0.321
wOBA
0.329 0.358 0.390 0.422 0.451
ISO
0.119 0.140 0.163 0.186 0.207
K%
18.1% 20.2% 22.5% 24.9% 27.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.5%
61 +17 vs proj
Barrel%5.7%
60 +36 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
46
Exit velocity84.8
13
Hard-hit%27.3%
9
K%26.7%
28 -22 vs proj
xBA0.294
25
xSLG0.501
47
xwOBA0.277
22
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.9 · RF
49
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
20
Arm Runs0.2 · RF
Limited
Range Runs-1.1 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · RF
17
Sprint Speed28.4 · RF
81
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.0% · rebadged research
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295 · validated thin sample
11
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.308 · validated
94
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Fraley, Jake · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.2762026-05-19: 0.2762026-05-21: 0.2762026-05-23: 0.2762026-05-24: 0.2762026-05-25: 0.2762026-05-26: 0.2762026-05-28: 0.2762026-05-29: 0.2772026-05-30: 0.2772026-05-31: 0.2772026-06-01: 0.277 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Fraley, Jake · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 27%27% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height5' 11"
Weight206 lb
Debut2019-08-21
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.011
wOBA Δ+0.102

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.288 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B, BB, K
2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | SB
2026-04-15 @ CWS1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, RBI, R
2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K, R
2026-04-08 vs CHC0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 1 E1-3 | BB, 2 K, RBI