Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 206 lb |
| Debut | 2019-08-21 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Jake Fraley
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 11", 206 lb · Age 31
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 382 | 44 | 97 | 5 | 20 | .277 | .330 | .386 | .716 |
| 2025 | 217 | 31 | 46 | 6 | 4 | .241 | .332 | .382 | .714 |
| 2026 | 97 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 3 | .216 | .289 | .364 | .653 |
| 8 Seasons | 1658 | 188 | 359 | 49 | 64 | .246 | .330 | .400 | .730 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
58
Exit velocity84.6
17
Hard-hit%26.1%
9
xBA0.290
20
xSLG0.491
47
xwOBA0.270
19
BB%9.8%
67
Bat speed69.5
47
K%28.6%
22
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.9 · RF
35
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
25
Arm Runs0.1 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.1 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · RF
11
Sprint Speed28.3 · RF
75
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
79
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.8% · rebadged research
55
Correct Decisions69.1% · rebadged research
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
39
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
24
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.299 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
79
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
67 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fraley’s wOBA sits at 0.373, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.270 — a gap of 0.103, -2.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 112 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | SB |
| 2026-04-15 @ CWS1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K, R |
| 2026-04-08 vs CHC0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 1 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 K, RBI |