Mithrandir Metrics
Player Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

J. C. Escarra

C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 220 lb · Age 31

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders Position C Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20259851721.202.296.333.629
20269281600.188.239.271.510
2 Seasons190133321.195.268.302.570
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
26
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
30
Defense4 metrics
72
Speed1 metrics
22
Plate skills10 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.324
xwOBA current pace0.258
xwOBA rolling p500.302
Observed weight33%
xwOBA
0.263 0.282 0.302 0.323 0.341
wOBA
0.270 0.298 0.328 0.358 0.386
ISO
0.118 0.143 0.171 0.198 0.224
K%
14.1% 16.5% 19.1% 21.8% 24.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
44
Exit velocity88.1
49
Hard-hit%35.4%
33
xBA0.262
8
xSLG0.393
11
xwOBA0.258
10 -57 vs proj
BB%6.5%
24 -30 vs proj
Bat speed67.6
24
K%18.5%
71 +23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.9 · C
89
Catcher Throwing0.4 · C
70
Framing Runs0.2 · C
54
Pop Time1.9 · C
74
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · C
22
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.5% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.261 · borderline
93
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
89
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
27
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Escarra, J.c. · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.258 2026-07-05: 0.2582026-07-06: 0.2582026-07-07: 0.2582026-07-08: 0.2582026-07-09: 0.2582026-07-10: 0.2582026-07-11: 0.2582026-07-12: 0.2582026-07-13: 0.2582026-07-14: 0.2582026-07-15: 0.2582026-07-16: 0.258 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

60 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Escarra, J.c. · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 72% of plotted batted ballsCenter 72%Right field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsOppo 18% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-17 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 31.02026-03-17 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -16.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 30.02026-03-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 17.02026-03-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.1 / LA -75.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · popup · EV 81.6 / LA 86.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 46.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA -29.02026-03-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 12.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 63.8 / LA 44.02026-03-24 · triple · SI · line_drive · EV 112.2 / LA 8.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.9 / LA 55.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.3 / LA 71.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · popup · EV 86.4 / LA 61.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 6.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 109.0 / LA -18.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 31.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA -12.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 4.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA -37.02026-04-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.2 / LA 14.02026-04-18 · triple · SI · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 27.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -16.02026-04-18 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 20.02026-04-18 · field error · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 34.02026-04-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 10.02026-04-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 21.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 68.1 / LA 13.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.0 / LA -8.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 6.02026-04-26 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -5.02026-04-29 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA -13.02026-04-29 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 17.02026-05-02 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 15.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 74.7 / LA 15.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 35.02026-05-02 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -17.02026-05-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 5.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -8.02026-05-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 71.6 / LA 22.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 55.02026-05-10 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 1.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.1 / LA -1.02026-05-13 · double play · ST · line_drive · EV 86.8 / LA 11.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -40.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -17.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 23.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA -33.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 28.6 / LA 72.02026-05-18 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 24.02026-05-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 52.02026-05-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 14.02026-05-25 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 8.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 23.02026-05-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 35.2 / LA -78.02026-06-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 77.5 / LA 68.02026-06-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 43.02026-06-18 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 28.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 44.02026-06-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 6.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Escarra, J.c. · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 2"
Weight220 lb
Debut2025-03-29
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.067
wOBA Δ+0.003

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.328
xwOBA (deserved)0.258

Escarra’s wOBA sits at 0.328, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.258 — a gap of 0.070, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 108 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-18Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.325 xwOBA | 8 HRProjection
2026-04-12 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E0-2
2026-04-08 vs ATH0 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K, RBI
2026-04-05 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-04 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-03-31 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K