Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Angels Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Angels

Adam Frazier

2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 190 lb · Age 34

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Angels Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024294355343.202.282.294.576
20254594311278.267.319.365.684
2026147193113.240.315.349.664
11 Seasons440053010466866.263.326.382.708
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
18
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
24
Defense4 metrics
45
Speed1 metrics
19
Plate skills13 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.286
xwOBA current pace0.265
xwOBA rolling p500.277
Observed weight43%
xwOBA
0.249 0.262 0.277 0.291 0.304
wOBA
0.316 0.338 0.363 0.388 0.411
ISO
0.086 0.104 0.123 0.142 0.160
K%
19.1% 20.5% 22.1% 23.7% 25.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
9
Exit velocity82.5
7
Hard-hit%18.7%
1
xBA0.320
54
xSLG0.421
21
xwOBA0.265
16
BB%10.1%
69 +40 vs proj
Bat speed61.6
1
K%24.9%
38 -36 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
17
Arm Strength89.2 · 2B
67
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
47
Range Runs-0.6 · 2B
48
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · 2B
19
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.7% · rebadged research
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
49
Changeup Stuff+95
14
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
67
Mithrandir Stuff+72
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.366 · validated
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
36
Slider Stuff+55
0
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Frazier, Adam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.265 2026-09-12: 0.2572026-09-13: 0.2572026-09-14: 0.2572026-09-18: 0.2612026-09-19: 0.2612026-09-20: 0.2612026-09-21: 0.2652026-09-22: 0.2652026-09-23: 0.2652026-09-24: 0.2652026-09-25: 0.2652026-09-26: 0.265 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 58%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Frazier, Adam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 19%19% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Frazier, Adam · 2026 arsenal snapshot Other: 57.8%Eephus: 33.3%Curveball: 8.9% FA58% · 73 mphprimary pitch FA 58%EP 33%CU 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Frazier, Adam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Other: 58% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 3″ drop, 72.6 mphFA73 mphEephus: 33% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 50.2 mphEP50 mphCurveball: 9% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 55.8 mphCU56 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 37.8% 17 95 limited sample
SL 31.1% 14 55 limited sample
FB 17.8% 8 81 limited sample
CB 13.3% 6 78 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height5' 10"
Weight190 lb
Debut2016-06-24
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.018
wOBA Δ+0.081

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.363
xwOBA (deserved)0.265

Frazier’s wOBA sits at 0.363, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.265 — a gap of 0.098, -2.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 169 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding12026-08-131 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.283 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-08-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E2-3 | 2B, CS
2026-05-20 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 3 K
2026-04-17 vs SD0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-15 @ NYY1 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, K, RBI