Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2015-07-24 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Michael Conforto
DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 215 lb · Age 33
Club Chicago Cubs
Position DH
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 488 | 56 | 104 | 20 | 0 | .237 | .309 | .450 | .759 |
| 2025 | 486 | 54 | 83 | 12 | 1 | .199 | .305 | .333 | .638 |
| 2026 | 309 | 32 | 63 | 15 | 1 | .237 | .330 | .466 | .796 |
| 11 Seasons | 4733 | 600 | 997 | 194 | 24 | .244 | .342 | .444 | .786 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
80
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.331 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.328 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.302
0.315
0.328
0.342
0.354
wOBA
0.347
0.363
0.381
0.399
0.416
ISO
0.173
0.188
0.203
0.219
0.233
K%
22.1%
23.3%
24.6%
26.0%
27.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.0%
81
+21 vs proj
Exit velocity90.8
87
Hard-hit%44.7%
80
xBA0.337
72
xSLG0.623
85
xwOBA0.331
78
BB%10.6%
76
Bat speed70.5
65
K%24.8%
39
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · RF
63
Arm Strength88.2 · RF
11
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
25
Range Runs-2.2 · RF
25
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · DH
15
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.8% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions70.0% · rebadged research
85
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.332 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
29
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
55
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
95
Resists FastballwOBA 0.379 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.413 · validated
1
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
82
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
137 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.054 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Conforto’s wOBA sits at 0.381, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.331 — a gap of 0.051, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 330 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-08-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-09-09 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.128 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.328 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs STL1 HR | 3 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-13 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-12 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | 2B |