Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Paul Blackburn

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.46
ERA current pace3.22
ERA rolling p504.06
Observed weight32%
ERA
2.76 3.38 4.06 4.74 5.36
FIP
3.34 3.61 3.92 4.22 4.50
K%
16.2% 17.9% 19.9% 21.8% 23.6%
BB%
6.3% 7.3% 8.4% 9.5% 10.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%10.6%
26 -43 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.1%
71 +19 vs proj
Fastball velo94.0
45
Hard-hit allowed37.8%
58
K%15.9%
12 -15 vs proj
Whiff%15.1%
4 -37 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.317
46
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+98
24
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Blackburn, Paul · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3262026-05-19: 0.3262026-05-21: 0.3252026-05-23: 0.3222026-05-24: 0.3222026-05-25: 0.3222026-05-26: 0.3222026-05-28: 0.3222026-05-29: 0.3222026-05-30: 0.3222026-05-31: 0.3172026-06-01: 0.317 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

8Pitches 2026Season 36%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Blackburn, Paul · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 15%15%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 45%45%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Blackburn, Paul · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 35.8%Cutter: 31.9%Changeup: 11.7%Curveball: 10.8%Sweeper: 6.1%Slider: 2.3% MIX SI 36%FC 32%CH 12%CU 11%ST 6%SL 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Blackburn, Paul · 2026 arsenal snapshot SI: HB 0.7, IVB 1.7SIFC: HB 0.0, IVB 2.0FCCH: HB -1.1, IVB 2.5CHCU: HB 0.6, IVB 5.0CUST: HB -1.3, IVB 3.6STSL: HB -0.5, IVB 3.3SLFF: HB 0.1, IVB 1.4FFPO: HB 0.1, IVB 2.1PO horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 34.7% 126 101 limited sample
SI 33.1% 120 94 limited sample
CB 12.1% 44 96 limited sample
CH 11.6% 42 107 limited sample
SL 7.2% 26 103 limited sample
FB 1.4% 5 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 1"
Weight196 lb
Debut2017-07-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.34
K% Δ-0.034
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-05-07Run prevention outpaced the underlying contact signals
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202619.3% K | 4.55 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs LAA1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-13 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs ATH0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs MIA0 ER / 2 K1.2 IP
2026-03-30 @ SEA1 ER / 0 K1.1 IP