Mithrandir Metrics
Player CWS Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / CWS

Erick Fedde

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 205 lb · Age 33

Cards
9
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club CWS Position -- Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024993.3031310177.11541.16
20254135.4932240141.0831.52
2026564.15199089.0601.42
9 Seasons39614.861841520861.26491.44
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
32
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
36
Arsenal5 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason4.41
ERA current pace4.15
ERA rolling p504.25
Observed weight63%
ERA
3.18 3.69 4.25 4.80 5.31
FIP
4.33 4.64 4.98 5.33 5.64
K%
14.0% 15.1% 16.2% 17.4% 18.4%
BB%
6.9% 7.6% 8.3% 9.1% 9.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.47
24
ERA4.15
46
BB%8.8%
48
K%15.6%
9
xwOBA allowed0.331
32 +20 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.0%
62 +19 vs proj
Fastball velo94.0
43
Hard-hit allowed39.4%
47
Whiff%17.8%
10
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Cutter Stuff+103
59
Mithrandir Stuff+102
48
Sinker Stuff+96
13
Slider Stuff+106
83
Changeup Stuff+98
21
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fedde, Erick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.331 2026-07-05: 0.3322026-07-06: 0.3322026-07-07: 0.3342026-07-08: 0.3342026-07-09: 0.3342026-07-10: 0.3342026-07-11: 0.3342026-07-12: 0.3342026-07-13: 0.3302026-07-14: 0.3302026-07-15: 0.3312026-07-16: 0.331 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 38%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fedde, Erick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fedde, Erick · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 37.6%Sinker: 29.2%Cutter: 18.2%Changeup: 13.3%4-Seam Fastball: 1.8% ST38% · 82 mphprimary pitch ST 38%SI 29%FC 18%CH 13%FF 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fedde, Erick · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sweeper: 38% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 81.9 mphST82 mphSinker: 29% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 94.0 mphSI94 mphCutter: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 90.6 mphFC91 mphChangeup: 13% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 88.7 mphCH89 mph4-Seam Fastball: 2% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 94.4 mphFF94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 37.8% 384 106 qualified
SI 27.8% 282 96 qualified
FC 22.1% 225 103 qualified
CH 11.5% 117 98 limited sample
FB 0.8% 8 72 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.34
K% Δ-0.007

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.365
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.331

Fedde’s wOBA-against sits at 0.365, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.331 — a gap of 0.035, 1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 91 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching92026-06-30Run prevention outpaced the underlying contact signals
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202616.4% K | 4.49 ERAProjection
2026-04-11 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-06 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-03-31 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB