Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cleveland Guardians Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians

Austin Hedges

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 220 lb · Age 34

Cards
7
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Cleveland Guardians Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024146122022.152.203.220.423
2025180132551.161.250.277.527
2026245255361.249.328.380.708
12 Seasons27842374758017.190.251.318.569
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
20
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
32
Defense4 metrics
41
Speed1 metrics
2
Plate skills13 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.252
xwOBA current pace0.283
xwOBA rolling p500.268
Observed weight53%
xwOBA
0.230 0.248 0.268 0.288 0.306
wOBA
0.317 0.335 0.356 0.376 0.394
ISO
0.079 0.100 0.122 0.144 0.165
K%
18.5% 20.1% 22.0% 23.8% 25.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.2%
26
Exit velocity84.3
13
Hard-hit%32.8%
26
xBA0.285
17
xSLG0.399
13
xwOBA0.283
27 +20 vs proj
BB%11.1%
81 +46 vs proj
Bat speed65.6
9
K%17.8%
79 +55 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.8 · C
26
Catcher Throwing-2.3 · C
9
Framing Runs2.1 · C
70
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.5 · C
2
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5% · rebadged research
45
Changeup Stuff+90
4
Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research
72
Fastball Stuff+80
1
Mithrandir Stuff+77
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
84
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.357 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.316 · validated
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
70
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Hedges, Austin · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.283 2026-09-12: 0.2752026-09-13: 0.2762026-09-14: 0.2762026-09-18: 0.2762026-09-19: 0.2762026-09-20: 0.2762026-09-21: 0.2772026-09-22: 0.2772026-09-23: 0.2782026-09-24: 0.2782026-09-25: 0.2782026-09-26: 0.283 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2025Season 88%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Hedges, Austin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 23%23%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 77%77%Hard hit: 33%33% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hedges, Austin · 2025 arsenal snapshot Other: 87.5%Eephus: 12.5% FA88% · 73 mphprimary pitch FA 88%EP 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hedges, Austin · 2025 arsenal snapshot 21″42″63″84″ Other: 88% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 73.0 mphFA73 mphEephus: 12% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 77″ drop, 55.3 mphEP55 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 72.1% 31 80 limited sample
CH 27.9% 12 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height6' 0"
Weight220 lb
Debut2015-05-04
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.037
wOBA Δ+0.111

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.356
xwOBA (deserved)0.283

Hedges’s wOBA sits at 0.356, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.283 — a gap of 0.073, -2.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 253 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-07-24Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding62026-08-261 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.245 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-04-13 @ STL0 HR | 1 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, RBI, R
2026-04-12 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-11 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB
2026-04-08 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 16 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K, R
2026-04-07 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E1-3 | R