Mithrandir Metrics
Player Colorado Rockies Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Colorado Rockies

Michael Lorenzen

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Colorado Rockies Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.41
ERA current pace7.21
ERA rolling p505.97
Observed weight56%
ERA
4.90 5.41 5.97 6.53 7.03
FIP
4.51 4.74 4.99 5.25 5.48
K%
14.7% 15.8% 17.1% 18.4% 19.5%
BB%
6.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.7% 9.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%7.7%
64
Barrel allowed9.3%
30
Fastball velo93.9
42
Hard-hit allowed46.9%
10
K%15.3%
9
Whiff%19.3%
20
xwOBA allowed0.374
8
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+101
44
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Lorenzen, Michael · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3732026-05-19: 0.3782026-05-21: 0.3782026-05-23: 0.3782026-05-24: 0.3752026-05-25: 0.3752026-05-26: 0.3752026-05-28: 0.3752026-05-29: 0.3752026-05-30: 0.3752026-05-31: 0.3742026-06-01: 0.374 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 20%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Lorenzen, Michael · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lorenzen, Michael · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 19.9%Changeup: 19.8%Sinker: 15.8%Curveball: 14.0%Cutter: 13.7%Slider: 8.4% MIX FF 20%CH 20%SI 16%CU 14%FC 14%SL 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lorenzen, Michael · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.1, IVB 1.4FFCH: HB -0.5, IVB 2.5CHSI: HB 0.4, IVB 1.9SICU: HB -0.0, IVB 4.1CUFC: HB -0.0, IVB 2.2FCSL: HB -0.0, IVB 3.0SLST: HB -0.5, IVB 3.4ST horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 20.9% 205 95 qualified
FB 20.5% 201 100 qualified
SL 16.5% 162 105 limited sample
SI 15.7% 154 104 limited sample
CB 14.0% 137 102 limited sample
FC 12.5% 123 108 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height6' 1"
Weight210 lb
Debut2015-04-29
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.32
K% Δ-0.025

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-05-234-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202617.8% K | 4.89 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ HOU2 ER / 3 K2.2 IP
2026-04-11 @ SD0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-08 vs HOU1 ER / 4 K5.2 IP
2026-04-03 vs PHI9 ER / 2 K3.0 IP