Mithrandir Metrics
Player ATL Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / ATL

Carlos Carrasco

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 224 lb · Age 39

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club ATL Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20243105.6421210103.2891.40
2025227.09119045.2341.71
2026005.9480016.271.44
17 Seasons1121054.2434328621704.017031.27
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
75
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal6 metrics
75
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Changeup Stuff+115
99
Cutter Stuff+108
99
Fastball Stuff+98
20
Mithrandir Stuff+107
90
Sinker Stuff+102
51
Slider Stuff+108
88
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Carrasco, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Carrasco, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 30.9%Sinker: 27.2%Cutter: 15.4%Slider: 13.8%4-Seam Fastball: 12.6% CH31% · 86 mphprimary pitch CH 31%SI 27%FC 15%SL 14%FF 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Carrasco, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Changeup: 31% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 85.7 mphCH86 mphSinker: 27% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 90.8 mphSI91 mphCutter: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 89.5 mphFC89 mphSlider: 14% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 86.2 mphSL86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 13% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 91.8 mphFF92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 31.0% 27 115 limited sample
SI 26.4% 23 102 limited sample
FB 16.1% 14 98 limited sample
FC 13.8% 12 108 limited sample
SL 12.6% 11 108 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching42026-03-09Sinker played up through SI/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet.