Mithrandir Metrics
Diagnostic HOU Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Optimization diagnostic / HOU

Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown's tools (55) outpace production (41) by 14 points. Primary finding: changeup grades as the best pitch (whiff 62.4%, csw 42.6%) but is only thrown 10.7% of the time. Also flagged: Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop; Usage Overuse: Four-Seam Fastball. Most actionable fix: increase changeup usage to at least league-average for that pitch type.

Score
70
Tools
55
Gap
+14.3
Data window 2026-07-01 / 2026-07-15Confidence HIGH
Optimization map

Arsenal shape map

Hover each pitch to inspect current usage, movement shape, and whiff context beside the written diagnosis.

View arsenal in 3D →
ride armside gloveside
Movement reshape

Pitch movement dual-view

Current shape against the recommended movement window. Animation starts when this section scrolls into view.

Knuckle CurveArsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop
Δ HB -7.0in · Δ VB +4.5in
Top-down · horizontal break Side view · vertical break
Current: HB 4.0in / VB -12.5in Recommended: HB -3.0in / VB -8.0in
Diagnosis

Fixable gaps

SignalCauseFixConfidence
Stuff-to-Whiff Gap (Command)0.10Elite stuff tunnels well but pitches land in hittable zonesReduce heart-of-zone pitches; increase edge and chase attemptsBetter location could push whiff rate toward 24%+MEDIUM
Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop0.60Existing Knuckle Curve is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired gloveside-drop window.Reshape existing Knuckle Curve to add gloveside drop rather than developing a new pitch from scratch.Shape refinement would improve platoon coverage while preserving the existing usage signal.HIGH
Usage Underuse: Changeup0.70Changeup grades as the best pitch (whiff 62.4%, CSW 42.6%) but is only thrown 10.7% of the timeIncrease Changeup usage to at least league-average for that pitch typeUsage rebalancing is the simplest optimization with immediate impactHIGH
Usage Overuse: Four-Seam Fastball0.60Four-Seam Fastball grades as the weakest pitch (whiff 11.7%, CSW 19.1%) but is thrown 34.4% of the timeReduce Four-Seam Fastball usage in favor of higher-performing offeringsUsage rebalancing is the simplest optimization with immediate impactHIGH
Arsenal / metrics

Underlying components

ComponentUsageVeloWhiff
Four-Seam FastballFF34%95.511.7%
SinkerSI30%95.219.9%
Knuckle CurveKC19%82.317.0%
ChangeupCH11%86.362.4%
SliderSL9%89.731.1%