Mithrandir Metrics
Diagnostic KC Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Optimization diagnostic / KC

Bailey Falter

Bailey Falter's tools (48) outpace production (31) by 17 points. Primary finding: existing split-finger is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired armside-drop window. Also flagged: Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep; Usage Underuse: Curveball. Most actionable fix: reshape existing split-finger to add armside drop rather than developing a new pitch from scratch.

Score
82
Tools
48
Gap
+16.9
Data window 2026-05-17 / 2026-05-31Confidence HIGH
Optimization map

Arsenal shape map

Hover each pitch to inspect current usage, movement shape, and whiff context beside the written diagnosis.

ride armside gloveside
Movement reshape

Pitch movement dual-view

Current shape against the recommended movement window. Animation starts when this section scrolls into view.

Split-FingerArsenal Shape: Armside Drop
Δ HB -1.8in · Δ VB -7.6in
Top-down · horizontal break Side view · vertical break
Current: HB 8.8in / VB +5.6in Recommended: HB 7.0in / VB -2.0in
SliderArsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep
Δ HB -6.6in · Δ VB +0.4in
Top-down · horizontal break Side view · vertical break
Current: HB -2.4in / VB +1.6in Recommended: HB -9.0in / VB +2.0in
Diagnosis

Fixable gaps

SignalCauseFixConfidence
Arsenal Shape: Armside Drop0.85Existing Split-Finger is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired armside-drop window.Reshape existing Split-Finger to add armside drop rather than developing a new pitch from scratch.Shape refinement would improve platoon coverage while preserving the existing usage signal.HIGH
Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep0.70Existing Slider is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired gloveside-sweep window.Reshape existing Slider to add gloveside sweep rather than developing a new pitch from scratch.Shape refinement would improve platoon coverage while preserving the existing usage signal.HIGH
Usage Underuse: Curveball0.70Curveball grades as the best pitch (whiff 33.0%, CSW 42.9%) but is only thrown 16.6% of the timeIncrease Curveball usage to at least league-average for that pitch typeUsage rebalancing is the simplest optimization with immediate impactMEDIUM
Usage Overuse: Four-Seam Fastball0.60Four-Seam Fastball grades as the weakest pitch (whiff 0.0%, CSW 24.8%) but is thrown 55.7% of the timeReduce Four-Seam Fastball usage in favor of higher-performing offeringsUsage rebalancing is the simplest optimization with immediate impactMEDIUM
Arsenal / metrics

Underlying components

ComponentUsageVeloWhiff
Four-Seam FastballFF56%91.60.0%
SliderSL34%82.114.8%
CurveballCU17%77.233.0%
Split-FingerFS6%85.10.0%
SinkerSI3%91.2100.0%