{
  "date": "2026-07-16",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-16T08:02:00.647132",
  "projection_type": "pitcher_strikeouts",
  "model_version": "pitcher_k_v1_regular_16f",
  "training_sample_size": 10282,
  "minimum_training_starts": 75,
  "feature_names": [
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    "pitcher_k_per_bf_season",
    "pitcher_k_per_bf_prev_1",
    "pitcher_k_per_bf_prev_2",
    "pitcher_outs_per_start_last_5",
    "pitcher_outs_per_start_season",
    "pitcher_outs_per_start_prev_1",
    "pitcher_bf_per_start_season",
    "pitcher_bf_per_start_prev_1",
    "pitcher_start_count_season",
    "pitcher_start_count_3yr",
    "opponent_k_rate_last_14_days",
    "opponent_k_rate_season",
    "opponent_k_rate_prev_1",
    "is_home",
    "days_rest_capped"
  ],
  "projected_start_count": 2,
  "skipped_start_count": 0,
  "skip_reasons": {},
  "predictions": [
    {
      "game_pk": 823440,
      "game_date": "2026-07-16",
      "season": 2026,
      "game_type": "R",
      "pitcher_id": 605400,
      "pitcher_name": "Aaron Nola",
      "team_id": 143,
      "team_abbr": "PHI",
      "opponent_team_id": 121,
      "opponent_abbr": "NYM",
      "is_home": true,
      "starter_confidence": "probable",
      "training_start_count": 10282,
      "predicted_strikeouts": 5.3,
      "features": {
        "pitcher_k_per_bf_last_5_starts": 0.233241,
        "pitcher_k_per_bf_season": 0.233855,
        "pitcher_k_per_bf_prev_1": 0.23441,
        "pitcher_k_per_bf_prev_2": 0.236096,
        "pitcher_outs_per_start_last_5": 16.092384,
        "pitcher_outs_per_start_season": 16.155594,
        "pitcher_outs_per_start_prev_1": 16.25284,
        "pitcher_bf_per_start_season": 23.13129,
        "pitcher_bf_per_start_prev_1": 23.088346,
        "pitcher_start_count_season": 5.0,
        "pitcher_start_count_3yr": 55.0,
        "opponent_k_rate_last_14_days": 0.223973,
        "opponent_k_rate_season": 0.223973,
        "opponent_k_rate_prev_1": 0.223973,
        "is_home": 1.0,
        "days_rest_capped": 10.0
      }
    },
    {
      "game_pk": 823440,
      "game_date": "2026-07-16",
      "season": 2026,
      "game_type": "R",
      "pitcher_id": 681035,
      "pitcher_name": "Christian Scott",
      "team_id": 121,
      "team_abbr": "NYM",
      "opponent_team_id": 143,
      "opponent_abbr": "PHI",
      "is_home": false,
      "starter_confidence": "probable",
      "training_start_count": 10282,
      "predicted_strikeouts": 3.93,
      "features": {
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        "pitcher_k_per_bf_season": 0.219087,
        "pitcher_k_per_bf_prev_1": 0.219087,
        "pitcher_k_per_bf_prev_2": 0.208608,
        "pitcher_outs_per_start_last_5": 15.191334,
        "pitcher_outs_per_start_season": 15.582669,
        "pitcher_outs_per_start_prev_1": 15.582669,
        "pitcher_bf_per_start_season": 21.938533,
        "pitcher_bf_per_start_prev_1": 21.938533,
        "pitcher_start_count_season": 0.0,
        "pitcher_start_count_3yr": 9.0,
        "opponent_k_rate_last_14_days": 0.223973,
        "opponent_k_rate_season": 0.223973,
        "opponent_k_rate_prev_1": 0.223973,
        "is_home": 0.0,
        "days_rest_capped": 10.0
      }
    }
  ],
  "skipped_starts": []
}