{
  "date": "2026-09-24",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-24T23:43:29.268014",
  "artifact_type": "hr_core_board",
  "source_artifact_path": "outputs/betting/home_run_edges/2026-09-24/home_run_edges_2026-09-24.json",
  "summary": {
    "board_size": 10,
    "selection_logic": "top_10_by_calibrated_rf_safe_probability"
  },
  "rows": [
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 1,
      "hitter_name": "Corbin Carroll",
      "hitter_id": 682998,
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      "opponent_abbr": "COL",
      "pitcher_name": "Tanner Gordon",
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      "over_odds": 450,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2512,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.2221,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 26.45,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
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      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1869,
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      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.1877,
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      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.2025,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Playable",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "MODERATE_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Steady Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 1,
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      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.1877,
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      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Caution",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Steady Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Weakest meaningful shortlist segment in the replay.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
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      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
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      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": -0.0027,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0516,
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      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0027,
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      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
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      "lineup_slot": 1,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
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    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 2,
      "hitter_name": "Corbin Carroll",
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      "pitcher_name": "Tanner Gordon",
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      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.2221,
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      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1869,
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      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
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      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.2025,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Playable",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
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      "fangorn_support_label": "Steady Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 1,
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      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.1877,
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      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Caution",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Steady Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Weakest meaningful shortlist segment in the replay.",
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      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": -0.0044,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0499,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0044,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0386,
      "play_tier": "Lean",
      "lineup_slot": 1,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "hitter-friendly"
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    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 3,
      "hitter_name": "Corbin Carroll",
      "hitter_id": 682998,
      "team_abbr": "AZ",
      "opponent_abbr": "COL",
      "pitcher_name": "Tanner Gordon",
      "sportsbook": "DraftKings",
      "over_odds": 440,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2512,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.2221,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 26.45,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.2221,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1869,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.1877,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.2334,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2315,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.2025,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Playable",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "MODERATE_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Steady Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 1,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.1877,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "CAUTION",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Caution",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Steady Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Weakest meaningful shortlist segment in the replay.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": -0.0061,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0482,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0061,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0369,
      "play_tier": "Lean",
      "lineup_slot": 1,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "hitter-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 4,
      "hitter_name": "Geraldo Perdomo",
      "hitter_id": 672695,
      "team_abbr": "AZ",
      "opponent_abbr": "COL",
      "pitcher_name": "Tanner Gordon",
      "sportsbook": "DraftKings",
      "over_odds": 935,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1787,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1636,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 14.2,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1636,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1754,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.176,
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      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2213,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1928,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Playable",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Balanced Lift",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 2,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.176,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "STRONG_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Strong Damage",
      "damage_score": 2,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "top_3",
      "damage_note": "Strong damage support from top-board HR context or fuller trust alignment.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0825,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.1094,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0825,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.067,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "hitter-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 5,
      "hitter_name": "Geraldo Perdomo",
      "hitter_id": 672695,
      "team_abbr": "AZ",
      "opponent_abbr": "COL",
      "pitcher_name": "Tanner Gordon",
      "sportsbook": "BetMGM",
      "over_odds": 920,
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      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1636,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 14.2,
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      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1754,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.176,
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      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2213,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1928,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Playable",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Balanced Lift",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 2,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.176,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "STRONG_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Strong Damage",
      "damage_score": 2,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "top_3",
      "damage_note": "Strong damage support from top-board HR context or fuller trust alignment.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0811,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.108,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0811,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0656,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "hitter-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 6,
      "hitter_name": "Geraldo Perdomo",
      "hitter_id": 672695,
      "team_abbr": "AZ",
      "opponent_abbr": "COL",
      "pitcher_name": "Tanner Gordon",
      "sportsbook": "FanDuel",
      "over_odds": 915,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1787,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1636,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 14.2,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
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      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1754,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.176,
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      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1928,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Playable",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Balanced Lift",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 2,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.176,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "STRONG_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Strong Damage",
      "damage_score": 2,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "top_5",
      "damage_note": "Strong damage support from top-board HR context or fuller trust alignment.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0806,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.1075,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0806,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0651,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "hitter-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 7,
      "hitter_name": "Bo Bichette",
      "hitter_id": 666182,
      "team_abbr": "NYM",
      "opponent_abbr": "TEX",
      "pitcher_name": "Kumar Rocker",
      "sportsbook": "DraftKings",
      "over_odds": 725,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1933,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1758,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 15.12,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1758,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1781,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.1785,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1884,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2029,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1761,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 2,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.1785,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0579,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0672,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0579,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0546,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 8,
      "hitter_name": "Bo Bichette",
      "hitter_id": 666182,
      "team_abbr": "NYM",
      "opponent_abbr": "TEX",
      "pitcher_name": "Kumar Rocker",
      "sportsbook": "FanDuel",
      "over_odds": 720,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1933,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1758,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 15.12,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1758,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1781,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.1785,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1884,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2029,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1761,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 2,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.1785,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0571,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0664,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0571,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0538,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 9,
      "hitter_name": "Bo Bichette",
      "hitter_id": 666182,
      "team_abbr": "NYM",
      "opponent_abbr": "TEX",
      "pitcher_name": "Kumar Rocker",
      "sportsbook": "BetMGM",
      "over_odds": 720,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1933,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1758,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 15.12,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1758,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1781,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.1785,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1884,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2029,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1761,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 2,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.1785,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0571,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0664,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0571,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0538,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 10,
      "hitter_name": "Freddie Freeman",
      "hitter_id": 518692,
      "team_abbr": "LAD",
      "opponent_abbr": "SD",
      "pitcher_name": "Nick Pivetta",
      "sportsbook": "FanDuel",
      "over_odds": 495,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2305,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.2059,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 23.5,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1721,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.2059,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1802,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1721,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.1789,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.2098,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.1897,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1721,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1649,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Playable",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "MODERATE_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Steady Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 1,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.1789,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "CAUTION",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Caution",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Steady Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Weakest meaningful shortlist segment in the replay.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.004,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0417,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": null,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.004,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0378,
      "play_tier": "Lean",
      "lineup_slot": 2,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    }
  ]
}