{
  "date": "2026-04-09",
  "generated_at": "2026-04-09T09:14:16.074015",
  "artifact_type": "hr_core_board",
  "source_artifact_path": "outputs\\betting\\home_run_edges\\2026-04-09\\home_run_edges_2026-04-09.json",
  "summary": {
    "board_size": 10,
    "selection_logic": "top_10_by_calibrated_rf_safe_probability"
  },
  "rows": [
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 1,
      "hitter_name": "Andrew Benintendi",
      "hitter_id": 643217,
      "team_abbr": "CWS",
      "opponent_abbr": "KC",
      "pitcher_name": "Seth Lugo",
      "sportsbook": "DraftKings",
      "over_odds": 640,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2411,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.2142,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 10.82,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1929,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1833,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0005,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1345,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0657,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1504,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2242,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1955,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Conservative Trim",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0653,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "STRONG_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Strong Damage",
      "damage_score": 2,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "top_3",
      "damage_note": "Strong damage support from top-board HR context or fuller trust alignment.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.044,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0153,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1346,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0006,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0791,
      "play_tier": "Strong",
      "lineup_slot": 4,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 2,
      "hitter_name": "Andrew Benintendi",
      "hitter_id": 643217,
      "team_abbr": "CWS",
      "opponent_abbr": "KC",
      "pitcher_name": "Seth Lugo",
      "sportsbook": "FanDuel",
      "over_odds": 640,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2411,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.2142,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 10.82,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1929,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1833,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0005,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1345,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0657,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1504,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2242,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1955,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Conservative Trim",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0653,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "STRONG_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Strong Damage",
      "damage_score": 2,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "top_3",
      "damage_note": "Strong damage support from top-board HR context or fuller trust alignment.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.044,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0153,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1346,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0006,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0791,
      "play_tier": "Strong",
      "lineup_slot": 4,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 3,
      "hitter_name": "Andrew Benintendi",
      "hitter_id": 643217,
      "team_abbr": "CWS",
      "opponent_abbr": "KC",
      "pitcher_name": "Seth Lugo",
      "sportsbook": "BetMGM",
      "over_odds": 635,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2411,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.2142,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 10.82,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1929,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1833,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0005,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1345,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0658,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1504,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2242,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1955,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Conservative Trim",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0653,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "STRONG_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Strong Damage",
      "damage_score": 2,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "top_3",
      "damage_note": "Strong damage support from top-board HR context or fuller trust alignment.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.043,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0143,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1356,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0016,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0781,
      "play_tier": "Strong",
      "lineup_slot": 4,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 4,
      "hitter_name": "Elly De La Cruz",
      "hitter_id": 682829,
      "team_abbr": "CIN",
      "opponent_abbr": "MIA",
      "pitcher_name": "Max Meyer",
      "sportsbook": "FanDuel",
      "over_odds": 540,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2218,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1989,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 18.49,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.2318,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1886,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0004,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1345,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0735,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1854,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2099,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1823,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0731,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "MILD_SUPPRESSION",
      "suppression_label": "Mild Suppression",
      "suppression_score": 31,
      "suppression_reason_count": 2,
      "suppression_note": "Some drag is present: opportunity penalty, park/run dampening.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0229,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0292,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1558,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0217,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0427,
      "play_tier": "Lean",
      "lineup_slot": 1,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "pitcher-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 5,
      "hitter_name": "Elly De La Cruz",
      "hitter_id": 682829,
      "team_abbr": "CIN",
      "opponent_abbr": "MIA",
      "pitcher_name": "Max Meyer",
      "sportsbook": "BetMGM",
      "over_odds": 535,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2218,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1989,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 18.49,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.2318,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1886,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0004,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1345,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0735,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1854,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2099,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1823,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0731,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "MILD_SUPPRESSION",
      "suppression_label": "Mild Suppression",
      "suppression_score": 31,
      "suppression_reason_count": 2,
      "suppression_note": "Some drag is present: opportunity penalty, park/run dampening.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0216,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0279,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1571,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.023,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0414,
      "play_tier": "Lean",
      "lineup_slot": 1,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "pitcher-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 6,
      "hitter_name": "Elly De La Cruz",
      "hitter_id": 682829,
      "team_abbr": "CIN",
      "opponent_abbr": "MIA",
      "pitcher_name": "Max Meyer",
      "sportsbook": "DraftKings",
      "over_odds": 530,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2218,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1989,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 18.49,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.2318,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1886,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0004,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1345,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0735,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1854,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.2099,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1823,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Watch",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Stable Consensus",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0731,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "MILD_SUPPRESSION",
      "suppression_label": "Mild Suppression",
      "suppression_score": 31,
      "suppression_reason_count": 2,
      "suppression_note": "Some drag is present: opportunity penalty, park/run dampening.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0204,
      "hr_edge_palantir": 0.0267,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1583,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0242,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0402,
      "play_tier": "Lean",
      "lineup_slot": 1,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "pitcher-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 7,
      "hitter_name": "Bo Bichette",
      "hitter_id": 666182,
      "team_abbr": "NYM",
      "opponent_abbr": "AZ",
      "pitcher_name": "Eduardo Rodriguez",
      "sportsbook": "DraftKings",
      "over_odds": 695,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1896,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1727,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 9.33,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1886,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.182,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0004,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1344,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0648,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1187,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.1994,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1731,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Low",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Conservative Trim",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0645,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 18,
      "suppression_reason_count": 2,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0533,
      "hr_edge_palantir": -0.0071,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1254,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0086,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0469,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "pitcher-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 8,
      "hitter_name": "Bo Bichette",
      "hitter_id": 666182,
      "team_abbr": "NYM",
      "opponent_abbr": "AZ",
      "pitcher_name": "Eduardo Rodriguez",
      "sportsbook": "FanDuel",
      "over_odds": 695,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1896,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1727,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 9.33,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1886,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.182,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0004,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1344,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0648,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1187,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.1994,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1731,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Low",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Conservative Trim",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0645,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 18,
      "suppression_reason_count": 2,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0533,
      "hr_edge_palantir": -0.0071,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1254,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0086,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0469,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "pitcher-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 9,
      "hitter_name": "Bo Bichette",
      "hitter_id": 666182,
      "team_abbr": "NYM",
      "opponent_abbr": "AZ",
      "pitcher_name": "Eduardo Rodriguez",
      "sportsbook": "BetMGM",
      "over_odds": 690,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.1896,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1727,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 9.33,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1886,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.182,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0004,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1344,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0648,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1187,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.1994,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1791,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1731,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Low",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Conservative Trim",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 3,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0645,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 18,
      "suppression_reason_count": 2,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.0525,
      "hr_edge_palantir": -0.0079,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1262,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.0078,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0461,
      "play_tier": "Play",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "pitcher-friendly"
    },
    {
      "board_type": "hr_core_board",
      "rank": 10,
      "hitter_name": "Cody Bellinger",
      "hitter_id": 641355,
      "team_abbr": "NYY",
      "opponent_abbr": "ATH",
      "pitcher_name": "Jeffrey Springs",
      "sportsbook": "FanDuel",
      "over_odds": 495,
      "expected_home_runs": 0.2149,
      "prob_1_plus_hr": 0.1934,
      "projected_home_runs_palantir": 15.81,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe": 0.1721,
      "hr_prob_catboost_safe": 0.1938,
      "hr_prob_hybrid_gap_adjusted": 0.1773,
      "hr_prob_logistic_classifier": 0.0006,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": 0.1292,
      "hr_prob_refined": 0.0649,
      "hr_prob_palantir": 0.1373,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_raw": 0.1879,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.1721,
      "hr_prob_rf_safe_calibrated_logistic": 0.1634,
      "palantir_confidence_label": "Low",
      "palantir_signal_label": "Conservative Trim",
      "fangorn_support_tier": "WEAK_SUPPORT",
      "fangorn_support_label": "Lighter Support",
      "fangorn_support_warning_count": 2,
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_tier": "MODEL_LIFT",
      "fangorn_logistic_dominance_label": "Model Lift",
      "fangorn_logistic_refined_delta": -0.0644,
      "fangorn_exposure_tier": "STANDARD_EXPOSURE",
      "fangorn_exposure_label": "Standard Exposure",
      "fangorn_confidence_segment_label": "Lighter Support + Model Lift",
      "fangorn_exposure_note": "Usable as moderated upside, not a primary trust pocket.",
      "damage_tier": "MODERATE_DAMAGE",
      "damage_label": "Moderate Damage",
      "damage_score": 1,
      "damage_rank_bucket": "outside_top_5",
      "damage_note": "Some HR-driven damage support is present, but without elite trust concentration.",
      "suppression_tier": "CLEAR_RUNWAY",
      "suppression_label": "Clear Runway",
      "suppression_score": 8,
      "suppression_reason_count": 1,
      "suppression_note": "Little contextual drag is present around the HR signal.",
      "trust_modifier": "NEUTRAL_TRUST",
      "trust_label": "Neutral Trust",
      "trust_note": "Mixed interaction context; descriptive, but not a strong trust modifier yet.",
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_calibrated_isotonic": 0.004,
      "hr_edge_palantir": -0.0308,
      "hr_edge_logistic_classifier": -0.1675,
      "hr_edge_rf_safe_logistic_anchor": -0.0389,
      "hr_confidence_bucket": "Below 25%",
      "hr_confidence_zone_tag": "Watch Zone",
      "edge_over": 0.0253,
      "play_tier": "Lean",
      "lineup_slot": 3,
      "confirmed_lineup_flag": false,
      "environment_summary": "neutral"
    }
  ]
}